My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

Moderator: moderators

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

USDCAD gets marinated

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jun 08, 2011 7:46 pm

USDCAD gets marinated/macerated inside the pretty wide region marked by chaos borders. The idea is to give it some extra flavour.
I managed to pull little candles into littler ones. Squeezing is one form of playing chaos. I wanted the borders to be visible better, the semafor can be seen better, and all the zigzags are seen better.
The picture is incomplete.
New triggers require calculatiing new targets and this is to be done. Impossible to trace all the trajectories. But there may be some secrets waiting to be revealed. USDCAD has never been a "favourite" pair for chaos studies.
The procedure is standard. Look for UPOs, mark the triggers, calculate basic targets.
The final goal is to find out which orbits (UPOs) are of what length. In other words, how many candles are in an attracting cycle (a loop) or how many could possibly be. The theory says that there should exist an order. For example that after a cycle of 16 candles, we cannot expect a cycle of 10. There should be an order in which neighboring orbits occur.
Do I know it? Not yet. Maybe the Farey Tree can help.
Attachments
usdcad8.06.gif
usdcad8.06.gif (61.93 KiB) Viewed 321 times

Please add www.kreslik.com to your ad blocker white list.
Thank you for your support.

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

EURUSD between two UPOs

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Jun 09, 2011 3:30 am

The chart below shows two UPOs relatively close to each other.
EURUSD is going to retest those levels.
One UPO @ 1.4640, the other @ 1.4603.
Other important loops are marked in colour.
Attachments
eurusd9.06.jpg
eurusd9.06.jpg (189.05 KiB) Viewed 312 times
Last edited by Paul&Paul on Sat Jun 11, 2011 10:35 am, edited 1 time in total.

Humble
rank: 500+ posts
rank: 500+ posts
Posts: 576
Joined: Fri Mar 20, 2009 10:29 am
Reputation: 0
Gender: Male

Re: EURUSD between two UPOs

Postby Humble » Thu Jun 09, 2011 4:35 am

Paul&Paul wrote: Other important loops are marked in colour.


What a great flow chart.
Is price closing higher or lower than something? Simple yet powerful question. ..MO

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

About EURUSD loops

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jun 11, 2011 10:50 am

The beginning of a loop is a UPO-repeller. We know it is a repeller because the market runs away from its level. After some time that UPO turns into an attractor, and the market returns to the level at which the loop began. Within a loop's cycle there are other cycles of similar nature. Some in the same direction, some in the opposite direction. Some end inside the largest loop. Marked are only longer-period orbits. There are numerous short-period orbits of length 1 and 2 which for clarity and simplicity were left unmarked. A 1-UPO means that there is an immediate reversal on the next candle after a turbulence (two candles). A 2-UPO means the reversal is from a higher high (or a lower low) and there are 2 candles on the road.
Each cycle is independent. The memory of those UPOs remains in the system as long as needed. The attached EURUSD chart showed loops which begin and end on the same page. They could be called day-loops. There are much longer-period UPOs, however, for instance longer than a year.

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

Crude oil brent futures based CFD H1

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jun 11, 2011 7:46 pm

aziamaziam inquired about crude.
I need to explain what levels and why are important for this market. Like any liquid market It exhibits the same properties attributed to chaotic systems.
The chart used is H1.

First note 126.77 which is 9.1299 of a trigger (which is not seen). It is an important border. Crude stayed there for a very short time. Then opened with a gap, formed a trigger down and also formed a RAR (the triangular formation) down. Four elements associated with a downturn.
That happened in early April.

Let us see how far crude plummeted from 126.77.
Another chart shows shows that crude tried 126.77 two times and was rejected there. It went down as low as 105.16 but more important were a little higher lows drawn by fractal expansion of a few triggers and the RAR.
Therefore, 107.78 & 108.15 are crucial for local lows.
Kindly observe two UPOs-repellers @ 124.34 and 123.45. Repellers until 105.16. Then they turned into attractors.

Currently a fractal expansion of Trigger 2 is taking place. 5.8664 is at 116.74 but more important is a UPO @ 117.03. Crude made a loop and returned to that UPO in the course of 20 days.

Note that crude was being attracted to 124.34 and 123.45 until 117.03. Then crude reversed and a third repeller showed at 117.03. Crude went down nowhere else but to 108.15 .
We have got confirmation that 108.15 is a crucial border of chaos.
Once again after a bounce off 108.15 our UPOs @ 124.34 and 123.45 and 117.03 turned into attractors.

Crude broke higher than 117.03 and left behind a UPO @ 112.96 which is a repeller from the downside.

From 117.03 crude resumed an uptrend attracted by 124.34 and 123.45.

Currently the most important determinants are five UPOs and the local highs 120.04, 119.97.

Crude reversed and crossed 118.27 which means that it is bound to cross 118.27 at least one more time and breaking lower it is going to retest 114.90 some time in the future.

Chaos tells us now that for crude the range is between 124.34 and 114.90. Crude shorts will be more in number once below 117.03. Otherwise, crude is poised to go still higher.

It is not possible to state which UPO is going to be tested first. However, all the marked UPOs are certain as targets in the future.
A study of loops may prompt something new. aziamaziam should look at the charts and try to understand the meaning of the marked levels from whatever angle he chooses.
I may continue crude tomorrow. Before I draw a flow chart here is another chart in which 14.208 is right between those two UPOs.
Current close is 118.42.
Attachments
oil11.06xxxxx.gif
oil11.06xxxxx.gif (69.47 KiB) Viewed 250 times
oil11.06xxx.gif
oil11.06xxx.gif (74.24 KiB) Viewed 252 times
oil11.06xxxx.gif
oil11.06xxxx.gif (80.92 KiB) Viewed 252 times
oil11.06xx.gif
oil11.06xx.gif (82.62 KiB) Viewed 257 times
oil11.06x.gif
oil11.06x.gif (79.33 KiB) Viewed 260 times
oil11.06.gif
oil11.06.gif (72.58 KiB) Viewed 262 times

Please add www.kreslik.com to your ad blocker white list.
Thank you for your support.

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

NZDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 12, 2011 9:25 am

NZDUSD looks neat and tidy. Went a bit higher than 4.669=8280 but then it marked that border of chaos much more accurately, so accurately that the error is totally insignificant. I marked the place with a light green elipse. The same level is marked by semafor2.
On the downside NZDUSD made 9.1299=8206 and again ther precision was remarkable. The rejection at 4.669 makes the picture bearish.

Earlier please note 4.669 of the trigger on the left and the level 8073, the place from which NZDUSD recovered.
Also on that low semafor 3 appeared and got fixed there.
Attachments
nzdusd11.06a.gif
nzdusd11.06a.gif (78.98 KiB) Viewed 239 times
nzdusd11.06.gif
nzdusd11.06.gif (76.58 KiB) Viewed 241 times

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

EURCAD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 12, 2011 7:03 pm

EURCAD looks bearish highlighted by three repellers @ 1.4300, 1.4226 and 1.4101. The strong selling area extends from 1.4329 to 1.4226.

EURCAD closed on Friday around 9.1299 of two other triggers and it is possible that it will dip farther to 14.208, namely 1.3873/61.

There is no new trigger up as yet.
The picture remains bearish while below 1.4131.
Attachments
eurcad12.06.gif
eurcad12.06.gif (42.14 KiB) Viewed 232 times

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

EURJPY looks bearish

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 12, 2011 7:17 pm

EURJPY is being repelled from UPOs @ 117.58, 116.91, 116.29.
There is no fresh trigger up.
May extend losses farther.
Attachments
eurjpy12.06.gif
eurjpy12.06.gif (45.59 KiB) Viewed 228 times

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

GBPJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 12, 2011 7:50 pm

Trigger T1 and trigger T2 yield almost the same target levels at 4.669 =129.39/46.
GBPJPY dipped to 3.5699 of the said triggers.

First selling area refers to last week.
Other repellers are marked on a second chart. They are labelled, so there is no need to quote those levels.
Attachments
gbpjpy12.06z.gif
gbpjpy12.06z.gif (40.42 KiB) Viewed 223 times
gbpjpy12.06.gif
gbpjpy12.06.gif (49.91 KiB) Viewed 224 times

Paul&Paul
rank: 1000+ posts
rank: 1000+ posts
Posts: 1210
Joined: Thu Dec 30, 2010 12:29 pm
Reputation: 0
Gender: None specified

NZDUSD slumped

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jun 15, 2011 9:34 pm

NZDUSD went a bit higher than 4.669=8280 but then it marked that border of chaos much more accurately, so accurately that the error is totally insignificant. I marked the place with a light green elipse. The rejection at 4.669 made the picture bearish.

There are four new UPOs @ 8184
8159
8129
8090
which are repellers.
The market is going to retest those levels.
At the moment no signal to buy.
Current level 8050.
Attachments
nzdusd15.06x.gif
nzdusd15.06x.gif (42.7 KiB) Viewed 207 times
nzdusd15.06.gif
nzdusd15.06.gif (47.39 KiB) Viewed 210 times

Please add www.kreslik.com to your ad blocker white list.
Thank you for your support.


Return to “forex”