My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Mar 27, 2011 9:50 pm

EURJPY was rejected at 115.54 being 4.669 of a trigger up. EURJPY tries to close above 115.00, not successful yet.
EURJPY has got two targets at 113.20 and some time in the future it is going to slip there.
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What is the percentage of demo users going real?

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:36 pm

It is not any different percentage than the percentage of real accounts going bust. In fact it is the same number. Are you surprised? Well, there is no coincidence in both the statistics. Mathematically and statistically demo accounts are a very big sample, much bigger than real accounts. A demo loser finishes the game at the demo level. Statistically insignificant number of lucky winners go real. Sooner or later they end up exactly in the same way. Bankrupt. Why? Because they use exactly the same tools, no better or worse.
To make a revolution give them tools to win and immediately there will be 95% of retail winners. Any hazard to the stability of the financial systems? Nay. Nothing of the sort. Just more work for retail brokers. OK, it sounds very futuristic but what about turning those 5% into 15% and then 15% into 45% and more?
Why not provide a good trade signal with money back guarantee instead of giving a cash bonus to a new account?
Last edited by Paul&Paul on Mon Apr 04, 2011 7:26 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:37 pm

We have to taste the bitterness of EURJPY. Recall what it wanted to do a few bars before the tsunami. What it did afterwards and see where we are now. What do you see? Is everything real or is something fake? Well, I would say that a really big thing impacting one's emotions so much like the earthquake, the tsunami and the nuclear catastrophy in Japan are absolutely those things which could not have permitted any quick reversal at all. Such emotions cannot subside quickly. Unless one direction was a freud, a trap, a nasty rat trap.
The little blue triangle on the left marks the place a few bars before the first tremor. Compare the chart with NZDUSD before and after the earthquake. NZD weakened and stayed low for a very long time. This comparison suggests that EURJPY slumping to as low as 106.65 should raise traders brows.
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EURUSD aided with 3 ZZ semafor on an M168 chart

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:38 pm

xxx
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EURUSD aided with 3 ZZ semafor on an M168 chart

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:39 pm

xxx
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EURUSD aided with 3 ZZ semafor on an M168 chart

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:41 pm

xxx
Last edited by Paul&Paul on Tue Mar 29, 2011 10:35 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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EURUSD aided with 3 ZZ semafor on an M168 chart

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:42 pm

xxx
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EURUSD aided with 3 ZZ semafor on an M168 chart

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 29, 2011 9:44 pm

This is a broader picture of EURUSD based on an M168 chart.
Each candle is 2hrs and 48 minutes. It needs to be presented in two parts to avoid too much congestion. I attempted to combine fractal expansions
with 3 ZZ semafor. You may not suspect 3 ZZ semafor of having anything to do with a non-linear dynamical process but you should know that it is based on ZigZags and the latter is based on fractals and fractals are basically structures on non-linear systems. It is a pity that so many confuse non-linearity with things that belong to stochastic processes, and combine indicators from two entirely different worlds. In this study I am not making this mistake and I want to stress that 3 ZZ semafor, my triggers, their fractal expansions, are absolutely compatible with each other. Let us begin with the chart with the current data to see where we are. Three triggers identified in this system yielded targets so precisely imprinted in the chart that here is no doubt thse tools are universal and confirm the fundamental properties of a chaotic system. Where there is such a precision we can speak of no coincidence but we see that time and again the same rules apply to a wide class of different non-linear dynamical systems. The scale was changed and I turned to an M168 chart. Fractals possess the quality of being self-similar in different scales. There is no one "best" scale, so no matter how much we zoom in or zoom out, if we assign 1 to a detected trigger, we should be able to see wonderful things in its fractal expansion. Those things are boundaries set by 4.669 and other multipliers derived from my theoretical studies and from the real market data. We cannot see fractals expanding as such, yet we can observe those boundaries. They need to be calculated with enough accuracy to watch the market's reaction how it is boundary-sensitive. Recall that we know nothing about the mathematical formula which generates the non-linearity. We do not possess any knowledge about any equations, sets of equations or their variables. We do not know how complex or how simple this may be. Fortunately, it is possible to to trace the singularities of those unknown (differential) equations. And the happiest thing of all is that some standard technical indicators which have long become standard analytical tools, come from the world of non-linear dynamics.
You know that 3 ZZ semafore can overpaint. The use of triggers and their fractal expansions allows to determine precisely where a next "1", "2" or "3" should be fixed and stay there.
Perhaps it has become all too boring to pinpoint this or that level, yet in strategic thinking one must master precision by all means. We should be able to view the market like we view a human face. We do not see the details of a face but its topology and proportions. Eyes too wide or too narrow catch our attention immediately. Alas, we generally do not possess this ability to recognize the market at a glance, and one of the reasons is that those proportions are hidden.
So the claim is that a movement from one "3" to a new "3", or from one "2" to a new "2" corresponds to one unique fractal expansion based on one trigger. The trigger can be found on the same chart or on a more detailed chart like M30 or M15. We only need to look for it. Sometimes with a magnifying lense.
What the heck.

In this experiment a new "1" denoted a low on an M168 chart. A new "1" as a local high obtained from an M5 trigger is at 1.4114 (3.5699) and 1.4130 (4.669). We should expect a new "1" to flash near those levels or above.

Similarly earlier a new "2" flashed above 3.5699 of a trigger from M15.
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EURUSD M168

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Apr 04, 2011 9:39 pm

EURUSD M168.
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Paul&Paul
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A few more thoughts on the market behavior and the like

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun May 29, 2011 8:35 pm

Hi there,

Things can become very complicated out of the blue. I am talking about the external forces. Some segments of this forum carry an inherent risk of activating violence. Someone is reading something what probably should have never been posted for general public at all.

In principle people seek the truth. Knowing more true things does not guarantee
we can easily make millions in this business. However, not knowing the truth is a sure way of becoming a victim of ignorance.

Luckily, we know more things than not which allows us to move forward. Let us believe that we are not stopped in this quest.
Paul

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