My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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Inverted triggers and RARs

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun May 29, 2011 8:56 pm

New studies reveal more details about the structure of a chaotic behavior.
There can be inverted triggers, and some triggers exhibit a dual behavior which means that the same trigger can activate a movement up and a movement down, sometimes exactly by the same factor of say 9.1299. The "energy" for such dual movements does not get balanced in a familiar way. I have already met numerous examples of this phenomenon. One of my friends smiles that the dual trigger behavior looks similar to some quantum physics problems.

Another new thing is a RAR (short for Repeller-Attractor-Repeller) which can be made more digestible for you by comparing it to an Elliott wave impulse. It will be explained on charts in due course. The difference between a trigger and a RAR is that the latter is based on just one UPO (Unstable Periodic Orbit).

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USDCAD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun May 29, 2011 9:11 pm

USDCAD
I want to resume with this study now. USDCAD is moving between two UPOs,
namely between 9850 and 9721. A return to those UPOs is a sure thing but the question is which direction comes first, up or down. A careful study of triggers shows that 9850 is obtained from six different trigger projections in an almost exact way, while 9721 lies below a few trigger projections (looks well defended). I predict that USDCAD is going to test 9850.
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USDCAD & its local chaotic structure

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 05, 2011 10:05 am

We have seen USDCAD in which certain mathematical tools "pulls back the veil" on chaotic reality of a currency market. Chaotic mechanics has spawned and continues to fuel spirited debates about the nature of what we can see and measure, and what nature keeps hidden - debates that often straddle the divide between the physical traders and the philosophical researchers.

I have given you numerous evidences that markets are chaotic in nature and that chaos is counterintuitive branch of physics/mathematics that deals with fractal developments in real scales.

Furthermore, I claim today that markets cannot behave as both chaotic and stochastic systems (like it is impossible to observe light behaving as both a wave and a particle, though it is strictly both) and that there is no "complementarity" rule which asserts that markets are sometimes chaotic and sometimes stochastic.

Topological analysis supplies us with new basic information about the behavior of a chaotic system. There is a question of how to retrieve it and what to do with it. There is never a question of it being useless.

On one level, the experiment appears to violate a central rule of man's reasoning. Chaos is counter-intuitive. And people have always been taught that there must be a "good reason" for something to happen, otherwise nothing makes sense. In terms of intuition it is absolutely true. In terms of mathematics and chaos it is absolutely different. Chaos is different. Nature is far more complex than intuition can possibly grasp. Intuition is simply too limited a tool for more complex systems.

The uncertainty principle does indeed forbid one from knowing the position and time of a market movement simultaneously, similarly to the uncertainty principle in quantum mechanics (the position and momentum).

At this stage of research you can't know the exact target value for any single pair of currencies and talk about when excactly it is going to get there. Fibonacci projections, the so called time and price analysis, appear to be some sort of a Utopia.

What more. Fibonacci ratios and numbers constitute the basis of fractal studies. Ratios and numbers, not simple Fibonacci projections.

This new information retrieved from a chaotic system is about the past and the future at the same time. The hidden structure of the past and the hidden borders of chaos in the future.

Chaos explains what a trend is and how far it can take us due to the inner-built
trigger and UPO memory. It explains that the hidden structure, some sort of Matrix, is full of constraints, and borders of chaos are not to be ignored but respected. It would not make sense at all if the grid of irregular borders were
for bigger animals like tigers, while for flies and mosquitos not.

Traders love talking about the future. About the future they think of. about something their intuition prompts. They do it in the best possible way of their ignorance. Maybe, I just say, maybe, it is so important to observe what people generally say about the future behavior of the market as it reflects their intuitive stance. If a market is chaotic, they should lose. Do they?
They do. It would be absurd to state that traders are abnormal and psychopatic and reason and intuition are strange to them. Statistically said traders community is not much different from the rest of people, (though much more intelligent).

As USDCAD is concerned, this pair has done something really remarkable this week. USDCAD first dipped to 9654, five pips from a UPO @ 9649, and then
it soared to the multiple chaos borders @9850 hitting just 9851! Then it retreated 100 pips. The starting point was 9771.

Multiple chaos borders @ 9850 were shown a week before you actually could see it as well. Now we know that "something" is there, because the whole participating in the game world (market) bounced off the 9850 wall. Even this little makes a lot in trading, though we certainly need to learn more about the nature of chaotic systems.

Paul&Paul
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CHFPLN

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:23 pm

CHFPLN reached 14.208 = 3.2883, slightly above 3.2675 which is 4.669 of another trigger.
Both borders of chaos recorded a respected reaction. The market closed at 4.669 of a trigger down (3.2287).
There is a UPO @ 3.2010 which is going to be revisited some time in the near future.

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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 05, 2011 5:42 pm

EURJPY is well supported at 115.90 and 115.79.
There is a robust trigger up of 60 pips which has already been marked at its first fractal border 117.33.

EURJPY is very near 117.54. This border comes from two different triggers. It failed several times to close higher.

Another support for EURJPY is a UPO @ 115.65, which indicates some pressure up, while at the same time being a determinant of a chaotic system, is a level to which the market is going to return in the future.
The current uptrend aims at 118.15, a UPO from May 5. This level is exactly 14.208 of one of the triggers.
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GBPUSD has potential to reach 1.6533

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 05, 2011 8:40 pm

GBPUSD is on the way to 1.6533 which is 9.1299 of a trigger and at the same time a UPO from May 31.

GBPUSD is bound to return to UPO @ 1.6341 and 1.6326 as well.
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GBPUSD slumped to 1.6326

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Jun 07, 2011 2:14 am

GBPUSD slumped to 1.6341 and 1.6326, two UPOs marked in the system.
GBPUSD retraced the entire 4.669 expansion of a trigger leaving one UPO @ 1.6429 which is a repeller.

GBPUSD is bound to return to 1.6429 in the future.
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Some recent USDCHF developments explained

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Jun 07, 2011 4:45 am

There has been a lot of intriguing action recently on USDCHF.
Longs need 8345 to hold.

An uptrend will resume when closes above 8381. Then it will target 4.669=8419 which is slightly below the first selling starting point on this chart. Higher we have a target of 8433.

At the moment USDCHF is stable upwards and unstable downwards. It means that it is easier to push it lower. This statement comes from the fact that USDCHF has been unable to develop more than a 4.699 fractal expansion upwards.

From the downside 8310 = 9.1299, and 8244=14.208.
It is intriguing how much time USDCHF is spending at 5.8664=8351. Must be important.
CHF is so strong.
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aziamaziam
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Postby aziamaziam » Wed Jun 08, 2011 6:42 pm

Could you provide your analysis of the Crude market.
TIA

Paul&Paul
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NIKKEI 225 at 9415

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jun 08, 2011 6:44 pm

In the shadow of recent NIKKEI 225 movements the chairman of the French nuclear safety agency (ASN) was speaking at a forum in Paris organised by the OECD's Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA).

Learning all lessons from the accident at Japan's Fukushima nuclear power station could take a decade, according to him.

"Fukushima was a shock," Mr Lacoste told reporters at a news conference.
Earlier this week, Japan's nuclear regulator issued a report admitting that the country had been ill-prepared for an accident as serious as the one at Fukushima Daiichi. It also doubled estimates of the amount of radiation released following the 11 March tsunami.
As the situation at Fukushima continues to develop, Mr Weightman, UK's chief nuclear inspector - who has just visited the site on an IAEA fact-finding mission, paid tribute to workers who had battled to gain control of the stricken plant in the days following the tsunami.

"The way in which they dealt with the aftermath of the incident was very impressive," he said. "They did some remarkable things under very difficult circumstances, and I'd be surprised if others could do better." Swift government action to evacuate people around the plant and subsequent monitoring of their exposure had also been "superb".

I take this opportunity to talk about the dark side of the moon. And without unnecessary glazing I find it particularly superb and swift the way investors had been fleeing NIKKEI 225 before the terrible earthquake took place.

It is worth remembering that before the first tremor NIKKEI 225 was closing -6% from the trigger which occured on February 22. People evacuating from around NIKKEI 225 caused a subsequent crash of -19%, from which the index miraculously recovered to levels prior to the earthquake.

Over 24,000 people were killed. But not those people, other people.

9415 reads in the window of NIKKEI 225 today.

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