My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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EURCAD headed higher

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jun 27, 2011 7:21 pm

EURCAD had a few pips to 1.4069. Despite the fall to 1.3842 it is still in an uptrend. Interesting that EURCAD with a UPO @ 1.4010 wasn't able to touch it.
Not the best of chaos last week on this pair.
Without any mathematical dissertation it is worthwhile to observe that semafor 3
is often marked in places where chaos sets an important UPO or a target.
Friday ended with a bullish tone.


And that bullish tone is there on a new chart.
Currently a mild correction is in the cards. Looks bearish.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jun 27, 2011 8:08 pm

EURUSD eyes 1.4101 =14.208 of a trigger down (20pips) which occurred at midnight June 22.

!.4101 is a fractal expansion of yet other three triggers.

UPO repellers are marked there on the chart as well.
1.4344
1.4320
1.4270
1.4207.
These are the levels to which the market is bound to return in the future.


EURUSD touched 1.4102. Very precisely indeed.
EURUSD returned to UPO @ 1.4270.

Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jun 27, 2011 8:09 pm

EURUSD eyes 1.4101 =14.208 of a trigger down (20pips) which occurred at midnight June 22.

!.4101 is a fractal expansion of yet other three triggers.

UPO repellers are marked there on the chart as well.
1.4344
1.4320
1.4270
1.4207.
These are the levels to which the market is bound to return in the future.


EURUSD touched 1.4102. Very precisely indeed.
EURUSD returned to UPO @ 1.4270.
And now EURUSD returned to 1.4320.

From the downside there is a UPO@ 1.4151 to which the market is bound to return in the future.
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Last edited by Paul&Paul on Tue Jun 28, 2011 12:51 am, edited 2 times in total.

Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jun 27, 2011 8:30 pm

GBPJPY heading lower towards 128.00.

UPOs @ 129.55 and 128.87.
After the huge trigger down (77pips) few dared contrarian action.
Semafor3 painted near important targets.


Just see what happed near 128.87 and on approach to 129.55.
Those UPOs mattered to some market players, no doubt.
To get to the first one at 128.87 GBPJPY had to stretch its neck.

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cpamom, Apr. 28, 2009

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jun 29, 2011 9:36 pm

cpamom, Apr. 28, 2009 wrote then

Out of 4,160 bars 28.82% moved up 10+ pips from open, 25.89% went down 10+ pips, 1.63% didn't hit 10+ either way, 43.65% hit it both directions.
Fore those bars hitting the O (Open)+10 mark on the upside only, the average move up was 46.64 pips.


I note cpamom actually found a striking similarity to the findings of the theory of chaos. The condition of 10+ pips is equivalent to min 10pips.
When we multiple 10pips times Feigenbaum constant (4.669), we obtain that the average move up was 10 x 4.669 = 46.69 pips!

For those hitting O-10 on the downside only, the average move down was 49.09 (slightly more than 4.669).

When both sides hit, the average move was 34.88 pips up and down was 35.81 pips.

Here this average is very near 10pips x 3.5699 = 35.69 pips! Recall that 3.5699 is one of the most important borders of chaos.

The sample cpamom used of 4,160 bars is big enough for these figures to become statistically significant.

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EURCAD targets lower than

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Jul 01, 2011 6:58 pm

EURCAD tested 9.1299 three times (marked on the chart below), underlying the significance of 1.3945 as a chaos border.

Next looms 1.3854.
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EURGBP

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Jul 01, 2011 7:52 pm

EURGBP.
9025 is equal to 5.8664 of a big trigger up (36 pips).
This level is important to some market players.

Farther up there is 9.1299=9142 from one trigger and 9151 from another one.
Yet before, there is also a border at 9095 from three older triggers.

EURGBP found support at 9013. More buystops will be seen @ 9039 and
9060.

The market is bound to return to a UPO @ 8986 some time in the future. And that UPO is also a target from two triggers down.
Friday closed with a bearish note.
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USDJPY at the start of last week

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:33 pm

USDJPY at the start of last week generated a trigger up bouncing off 80.20. It had traveled in a loop 80.20-80.76-80.20. Most importantly USDJPY broke through 80.59 crushing shorts.
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Then USDJPY went to 4.669 of the trigger (14pips)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:49 pm

Then USDJPY went to 4.669 of the trigger (14pips) and the higher to 5.8664.

The 4.669 level = 81.00 is marked to know whether the market "sees" and how reacts to an important border of chaos.

In simple terms we see that the movement above 4.669 to 5.8664 was a trap. It was needed for somebody for selling USDJPY. First when USDJPY was above 81.00, a second time on approach to 81.00.

Then it is interesting to see what is under the mask of it. Watch that 80.54 again played a significant role in the behavior. It was a UPO-repeller, then it suddenly turned into a tiebreak higher.

USDJPY was last seen bouncing off 80.54 in a handsome manner.
Even without more details from chaos we see that a battle was being fought, and fireworks exploded here and there.
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Under the mask of chaos is order (USDJPY)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 02, 2011 1:59 pm

Under the mask of chaos is order (USDJPY).

All movements correspond to some real intentions and real doings of unnamed investors. It would be unwise to think of one giant controller of the market.

However, it is absolutely amazing what the market can do near important levels revealed by chaos. We can do nothing with it, as often is the case, we can profit from it, as sometimes it is the case.

Orwell's (in)equality rule is absolutely valid in all financial markets.
Some price levels are more important than the others. I hail all more descriptive confirmation of the fact.

Kindly notice that 80.97 is 14.208 of one trigger up and also 4.669 of another trigger up. Beyond 80.97 was someone's very good luck.
Before that USDJPY slumped 14.208 of a small trigger down.

It shows how unstable USDJPY is in both the directions. 14.208 is a multiplier of a crash. Locally in the scale of M30 we have evidence of two severe crashes taking place one after the other. These are not mere zigzags.

The last trigger is down. Its 4.669 target is at 80.39. It is the most important level from the downside now. There is a UPO-repeller exactly in the same place.

With USDJPY almost everything looks exact today. This is order.
The question remains what is easier, to push prices higher or to provoke a slide. I do not know it. What I know is that the market is nearer the topside.

In addition, the analyzis of the time series shows an uptrend despite the selling around 4.669.
Friday closed with a bullish note.
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