My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD is very near 1.2250

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 08, 2012 5:57 pm

EURUSD is very near 1.2250=14.208 of a 31pip trigger down from June 19 and it should touch this border of chaos. 14.208 is a catastrophic expansion frequently observed in chaotic systems.
Howev er, the tone at the end of Friday was up.
The UPOs are marked in red.
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Paul&Paul
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Banks' debts are nearly three times higher than

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:27 am

government debts.
Simple relationships can produce gigantic changes if wrong decisions are taken and ignored are the principles of chaotic non-linear behavior of markets.
Every economic bubble is preceded by a trigger. The trigger is rarely caused by the public. Creditors and decision makers who knowingly took investment risks want to avoid bearing the burden. Instead, they press for bizzare solutions where the taxpayers, retirees and savers are made liable for backing debts.
Merkel rejected the criticism. She states that this is about better banking supervision.
What is the use of a 'better' banking supervision while ignoring the principles of chaotic systems?
A 'better' banking supervision will simply come to more bureacracy rather than more science.
More bureacracy will add more political power to leading forces who would politically consider national and government interests, adding to inequilibria, inequalities, imbalances and instability.
This is not about any additional liability, yet this is about creating new bubbles of their own.
Further on, foreseeable are more stresses and possibly a collapse of the system. Greece should be allowed to exit the eurozone. It is certain that if Greece did so, and then were allowed to reenter in a decade or so, then it
would win a competitive currency exchange edge.
But that is not what Germany or France would like to have.
The entry exchange rates set competitiveness once for all and for ever.
It inevitably pushes everyone into something analogous to the monstrous Soviet Union.

Paul&Paul
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USDPLN

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:40 am

USDPLN is very unstable upwards.
Buyers consolidated their efforts and six UPOs occurred till 3.3564. The visible trigger up expanded 14.208 times its size and the market did not stay there nor go under the line.
There are two more UPOs much higher, at 3.4457 and 3.4311 where the market is bound to return to some time in future.
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Paul&Paul
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CHFPLN and its two nearest UPOs

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Jul 09, 2012 2:45 am

CHFPLN and its two nearest UPOs, namely 3.5389 and 3.5016.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN decoupled from EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jul 11, 2012 3:10 am

USDPLN decoupled from EURUSD which is something new this year. Efforts are seen to push USDPLN lower, to a certain extent at no cost if fresh capital inflow has been taking place and at a price if this is also a central bank intervention.
Anyway, we have three consecutive triggers down following a semafor3 and they increased their sizes from 28 pips to 55 and 138 pips respectively. Their sizes grew in a non-linear fashion.
Some of the chaotic borders resulting from fractal expansions are drawn in the chart below.
3.4373 is notable for its heavy selling at the opening of Europe on July 10 leaving the earlier UPOs at 3.4517 and 3.4581 intact.
The decoupling from EURUSD is distinct.
My hours are from 3.5699 to 14.208 and I make a reduction to families.
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Paul&Paul
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Multifractality of healthy markets

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Jul 11, 2012 3:24 am

Multifractality has been uncovered in a number of fundamental processes.
It was also reported that heart rate fluctuations of healthy individuals are multifractal. It appears that a major life-threatening condition, congestive heart failure, leads to a loss of multifractality.
What we witness in financial markets is evidence of health. There are numerous and ever new triggers which cause independent fractal expansions and ensure multifractality.
It is possible that the neuroautonomic control mechanisms endogenously generate multifractal dynamics.

Paul&Paul
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USDPLN (it makes a difference what chart we take)

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Jul 12, 2012 8:57 pm

USDPLN.
When today's USDPLN is confronted with earlier UPOs given in the previous post and chart, a few features are striking of which all are chaotically significant and beautiful.
Look at 3.4581.
Those UPOs are playing better than fractal expansions. There must be a reason for that.
Not any reason but a universal reason.
Are we closer to monofractality in this period of time or are we near multifractality?
It appears that USDPLN is not very healthy now.
If the central bank intervened to strengthen the zloty, then the effect was short-lived, and a lot of the effort gone wasted.
You see that 3.4581 was made another time significant to be defended.
Interesting is the uncovering by Chinese physicists published in Chinese Journal of Physics in December 2010 about the behavior of S&P500
(Fractal Analysis of Stock Market and Electrocardiograph).
The Hurst exponents calculated by DFA (square) were 0.93 and 0.65, respectively, before and after the crossover at 33 min.
Which means that if we turn from an M30 chart to an
H1 chart
, for example, (60 minutes is greater than 33 minutes) and study the fractals, then we lose some information about the dynamics of the system and the loss is very significant.
How significant, it can be examined in the USDPLN charts below.
First study the M30 chart with its UPOs. There are 10 UPOs and almost all of them mattered very much.
Then study the H1 chart and see that the 8 UPOs from the M30 chart are missing.
Which orbits are missing in the H1 chart I marked with a cross.
Remember that UPOs are orbits where the market is bound to return to some time in future.
[B]This straightforward implication of the crossover behavior found in financial
sequences is a killer of a myth that studying H1, H2, H4, dailies or weeklies gives some edge over (noisy and choppy) scales like M30.
In fact it is quite the contrary.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN 14.07

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 14, 2012 9:18 am

USDPLN tested 3.4579 again. It is not only a standard resistance level.
It is a UPO of great significance.
A UPO is like a signature.
Attachments
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD M3

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 14, 2012 2:42 pm

EURUSD M3.
EURUSD bounced off recent lows which were a cotarget of three triggers.
The trigger up (8 pips) expanded 9.1299 times its size and then the market went sideways.
The nearest UPOs from the downside are 1.2236, 1.2231, 1.2198, 1.2173.
The nearest UPOs from the upside are 1.2266, 12272, 1.2280, 1.2282.
Thus the narrowest range for the upcoming sessions is 1.2236-1.2266 (30 pips).
All the given UPOs are determinants of the market.
Attachments
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD M30

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 14, 2012 3:25 pm

EURUSD M30.
Friday ended with a tone up.
The M30 chart shows a period of three sessions.
This fractal picture is far less detailed than the previously posted M3 chart of the same currency pair.

The Hurst exponents calculated by DFA (square) were 0.93 and 0.65, respectively, before and after the crossover at 33 min.
I refer to that uncovering and the immediate explanation why M30 charts contain more information than, for example, H1 charts I see in the popularity
of M30 charts among professionals.
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