My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD without subjective judgement

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jun 23, 2012 1:59 pm

Something about voices and faces of chaos.
The 14.208 chaotic border equal to 1.5733 showed sharply on Thursday. GBPUSD was being sold there really well that the market just barely touched the line.
Given how significant it was I found the trigger responsible for the slump. Its 27pip size multiplied by 5.8664 yields 1.5561 and that's where it was on Friday. And still GBPUSD closed with a bearish tone, so there may be more to come to the downside.
1.5684 is a UPO and the market is bound to return to it some time in future. Perhaps before that GBPUSD will test another UPO from the downside @ 1.5543. We are not far anyway.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 24, 2012 2:05 am

USDPLN.
There is a trigger up of 47 pips which expanded more than 14.208 times its size and that more was exactly 5.8664 of RAR's size. USDPLN locally reache the level of 3.4243. This border was marked twice. Attempts to break higher proved unsuccessful.
Right now we have two fresh UPOs at 3.4180 and 3.3991.
This market tried to return to 3.4180 but was not strong enough achieve it.
The week ended with a tone down.

Please note the Fibonacci classical expansion applied to the low within the trigger and the high of the RAR which at 423.6 gives exactly 5.8664 of the RAR.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN continued

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 24, 2012 2:26 am

USDPLN continued.
There is a trigger down of 105 pips.
I applied 5.8664 which yielded 3.3377
and I also applied classical Fibonacci extention stretched on the high and the low within the trigger which yielded the same level 3.3377.

There you see evidence that Fibonacci ratios are uniquely related to fractal expansions calculated with the tools of chaos which at the same time confirms the major theorem on the relationship of Feigenbaum constant and Fibonacci ratios.

The ways Fibonacci tools can be applied are multiple. One can use Closes, Highs, Lows and also other levels, provided they have some meaning.
Trying to adjust the application to the preconceived and often biased notion
is wrong. There should be something mathematical in chosing the stretching points.

The information which one generally misses is hidden in chaotic systems.
This information can be retrieved though and used for checking up where Fibonacci targets and fractal expansions meet exactly, as they should meet some place, somewhere.

The geometry of the system clearly shows that USDPLN can go to 3.3377.
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Paul&Paul
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We cannot ignore the dynamic properties of complex systems.

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 24, 2012 3:35 am

Most systems known to be robust have numerous controls and feedback loops to ensure that they survive errors and failures.
Bank protocols were carefully designed to "route around the trouble", avoiding
routers that mulfunction. Cells have numerous feedback mechanisms to correct errors, dismantling faulty proteins and shutting down malfunctioning genes.

All four key eurozone leaders agreed to defend the single currency, but they did not really tell us how they are going to do this. All four leaders were happy to make the argument for growth, putting forward a plan for the 130bn euro growth fund.

It looks though that they still are doing something unnatural, something against Nature. They are not going to correct errors, dismantling faulty proteins and shutting down malfanctioning genes.
One can easily find out what a faulty protein or a malfunctioning gene is in economy and finance.

Mr Monti had warned his EU peers that failure to agree on joint action would excourage progressively greater speculative attacks on their economies.

Seeing how Nature behaves and what Nature does with weak organisms, the leaders rightly view the dangers but wrongly chose the medicine.

The four leaders had also agreed to push for a pan-European tax on financial transactions, originally proposed by economist James Tobin as a levy on currency conversions. The tax is intended to to discourage market speculators by making their activities uneconomic, and in this way, to increase stability in financial markets.

Well, the Tobin tax will be a hoax if implemented because the stability in financial markets clearly depends on non-fiscal factors on the one hand and most financial activities could quite easily be relocated to another country in order to avoid the tax on the other hand.

Paul&Paul
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What if Greece quits the euro?

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jun 24, 2012 3:44 am

What if a company quits Dow Jones Industrial Average?
We learned that nature has carefully selected the structure of most complex systems, offering them an unparalleled degree of error and failure tolerance.
Scale-free networks are not vulnerable to attacks.
Greece's exit would really matter only to Greece.

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EURUSD M155

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Jun 29, 2012 9:48 pm

EURUSD M155.
All UPOs marked in red and published on June 23 are important for their unique quality. Those were the determinants of a chaotic system. The M155 chart is queer for some but it is to give evidence to the hypothesis about how natural objects those UPOs are.

EURUSD returned to those levels in a remarkable way. It was bound to happen and it did happen.
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EURUSD M155

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 08, 2012 7:10 am

EURUSD M155 shows a remarkable order.
There is a large trigger down of 77 pips which initially expanded 2.4220=1.2437 which was near a buyers' area, then returned to UPOs @ 1.2668 and 1.2678 and then slumped crunching old and new longs.
All UPOs are marked in red. The nearest is at 1.2309.
EURUSD dived to 4.669=1.2264 where 4.669=Feigenbaum constant. Therefore we see the usual basic fractal expansion caused by a trigger.
Attachments
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD M155

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 08, 2012 9:47 am

GBPUSD M155.
All the selling is visible there.
First at 1.5700 and it dived to F=1.5527 from a trigger of 39 pips. There were attempts to recover from lows at 1.5513 and 1.5618 but failed to go through 1.5700. After two days of messy little nothing near the big figure GBPUSD slipped down to below 1.5500, leaving behind three UPOs at quite a distance now.
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AUDUSD M155

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 08, 2012 1:30 pm

AUDUSD M155.
Attempted breaking 3.5699 of a trigger up three times. Then it went higher.
The three UPOs at 9740, and 9894 and 9914 remind of heavy buying taking place.
9.1299 of the same trigger up is at 1.0408.
The last episode is a little to the downside.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 08, 2012 1:47 pm

GBPUSD ended with a tone up. The nearest UPO to which the market is bound to return is at 1.5508.
Three other UPOs are much higher, at 1.5627, 1.5635 and 1.5650.
Attachments
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