ForcedShadow wrote:Craps offers the best statistcs to use martingale. 86% if you keep betting the pass line. After 1 hour play your odds decrease dramaticly. After 8 hours playing your odds are just 12%. When playing a maximum of 10 rounds on my tablet I´ve never lost. Blackjack comes in second with 84% and (American) roulette has the ´worst´ odds of 82%, given that you play a maximum of 1 hour casino play.
One of the statistics that I am going to use is that the average number of rolls before a 7 is roughly 3.8
After the shooter makes his point you have about 2.8 good rolls before your money is swept off of the table so that is why you only make bets that you can turn off & take down (place/lay) &/or bets that hedge other bets.
We don't bet the pass line in craps because it is a contract bet (you can't take it down) & it usually takes more than 4 rolls for a shooter to make his point.
We want to get paid something for every roll of the dice so that we are leaving with money if and when we decide to leave; Iron Cross is one such strategy where you own every number except the 7 (or the hedged version where you own every number except exactly the 6:1), but there are better strategies.
I believe that the Craps table is little different than scalping the markets if you make bets that have similar mechanics (placed on/off, hedged, etc).
Some proper bet sizing, money management, & TRO "bet what you see", and we might be able to beat this thing long term...not after a billion rolls but over a much smaller sample size in which anything can happen.