My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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a ZigZag vs. Fractal Expansion

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:47 am

Take USDCHF to study an M30 chart.
Here I compare a standard ZigZag to Fractal Expansion of a trigger up
(11 pips).
The ZigZag is set to 12,5,3.
Fractal sampling is set to 60,144,13.

Observe the alignment of the ZigZag with the borders based on chaotic principles during the evolution of the local trend.

In terms of the Elliott wave theory, this is a typical 5-wave pattern.
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Paul&Paul
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Special Fibonacci extension

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:04 am

Then a Fibonacci extension has been applied in a special way. The impulse wave was measured as 5.8664=9181 minus the close of the trigger up (9117).

Thus I obtained an alignment of the ZigZag also with the Fibonacci levels.

Study where are the Fibonacci lines then:

100
38.2
61.8
161.8
261.8.

In this example we see that three tools: the Elliott wave theory, Fibonacci
ratios and the chaos theory have so much in common.

The chaos theory gives new crucial information and details about the behavior of the system.
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Paul&Paul
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The recent USDCHF

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Feb 17, 2012 3:06 am

is attached below.
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Paul&Paul
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Believe it or not

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Feb 17, 2012 2:01 pm

It won't change anything.
4.669 of the said trigger up on USDCHF on the way down.

It looks like the second dimension. Two borders 9.1299 and 14.208 showed from the topside.

Three borders 2.4200, 3.5699 and 4.669 showed from the downside.
It is not a second dimension in the model. Rather it merely looks like a code within the same one dimension.

The mystery of alignment of outcomes obtained with several different tools like chaos, Fibonacci, ZigZag, semafor and Elliott poses further questions of purely systemic and scientific nature.

I may be able to return to them at an early date.
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Paul&Paul
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CHFPLN on Feb. 19

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 3:59 pm

CHFPLN is very volatile.
3.4405 and
3.4423 are targets from earlier triggers down and
now we have a new trigger down for which 3.5699 is @ 3.4459
and 4.669 is @ 3.4305.

Friday ended with a tone down.
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CHFPLN on Feb. 19 (2)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 4:21 pm

CHFPLN managed to drop a little below the UPO @ 3.4612 which is good for the zloty.
Sellers have been tormented by nearing their major selling area. The actual UPO lies at 3.5216 from January 31.
Notice that it is an area expanding from 3.5216 through 3.5170/80 down to 3.4900.

For a short while CHFPLN approached 3.5100, so not very far from the said 3.5170/80. That must have upset sellers.

The UPO @ 3.5216 is a determinant of the system. It is untrue that CHFPLN will never return there again.

Just a quick glance at that selling area shows that there remains some free space where some sellers are still living comfortably. However, they are bound to evacuate before retirement for shure.

CHFPLN below 3.4459 will be cheered loudly by those shorting half a month ago.
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Paul&Paul
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EURCHF as on 19,02

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 4:57 pm

First recall the events from November 8 till December 1 of 2011 and the failed attempt to keep prices above 5.8664=1.2242.
There seems to have taken place a SNB intervention which soon turned into a complete failure.
The trigger down of 30 pips is where the selling energy came from.

That said trigger caused a tractal expansion by the factor of 9.1299=to1.2144 and its 14.208 level lies at 1.1991. EURCHF has not dropped that low yet.
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EURCHF as on 19,02 (2)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 5:11 pm

The second chart clearly shows how 1.2242 worked.
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EURCHF as on 19,02 (3)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 5:17 pm

Here we see yet two more triggers down of a size of 14 and 28 pips respectively.
The first one expanded 14.208=1.2214 and little story is about it besides the fact of a serious instability downwards.

The second trigger down at 9.1299=1.2119.

That 1.2119 is a fresh selling border.
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EURCHF as on 19,02 (4)

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Feb 19, 2012 5:28 pm

And the most recent developments on EURCHF.
Friday ended with a tone up.
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