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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY update as on Dec.3

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Dec 02, 2011 5:01 am

It starts from several UPOs from November 14.
122.46 has been triple tested recently. And sold.
The 122.46 UPO is a little below a huge trigger down of 124 pips which expanded by 2.4220 to 119.59 in the course of two weeks.
GBPJPY is now between two borders marked by 122.07 and 121.16. They are unusual in the sense that the former is a UPO and a target 4.669 of a trigger up, the latter is a cotarget of two triggers down.
We have a new semafor3 down there near the lows, yet the tone is down on the close of Friday.
Attachments
gbpjpy3.12.gif
gbpjpy3.12.gif (76.58 KiB) Viewed 186 times
gbpjpy3.12x.gif
gbpjpy3.12x.gif (74.99 KiB) Viewed 186 times

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Paul&Paul
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EURJPY updated

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:44 pm

EURJPY ended with a tone down on Friday. Recovered from the low which was 4.669 of a trigger down and returned to a UPO @ 104.66. While below it looks to slide farther.
There is a UPO @ 103.71 to which the market is bound to return after some time.
From the upside 105.86 is the nearest UPO from November 14.
Attachments
eurjpy3.12x.gif
eurjpy3.12x.gif (78.13 KiB) Viewed 184 times
eurjpy3.12.gif
eurjpy3.12.gif (71.08 KiB) Viewed 184 times

Paul&Paul
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EURCAD updated

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Dec 03, 2011 10:02 pm

EURCAD is difficult now but precision retained.
Two expansions by 4.669 actually pip-to-pip.
The difficult part is that it fluctuates very much despite a constant vector field orientation up.
Friday ended with a tone up.
Attachments
eurcad3,12.gif
eurcad3,12.gif (69.32 KiB) Viewed 180 times

Paul&Paul
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OIL updated Dec.4

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 11:00 am

The recent lows 106.00 were expansions of two triggers down marked as 1 and 2 on the first chart. From there OIL produced two gigantic triggers up, 146 and 182 pips. They have already been expanding in the direction of 112.39 and 112.56.
Friday ended with a bullish note. OIL found suppport at 108.48, and due to a small trigger up expanded 5.8664 times its size to 110.16. It closed there.
Attachments
oil4.12.gif
oil4.12.gif (41.74 KiB) Viewed 172 times
oil4.12x.gif
oil4.12x.gif (35.29 KiB) Viewed 172 times
oil4.12xx.gif
oil4.12xx.gif (35.75 KiB) Viewed 172 times

Paul&Paul
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ECB cannot afford a weaker euro

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 11:18 am

The ECB cannot afford to let the euro crash against the dollar. If the Fed gives $ 100 bn in dollars to the ECB which gives $ 100 bn worth of euros to the Fed, and then the ECB lends out the dollars to private banks and, before they repay the loans, the euro crashes against the dollar, then the ECB has no means of acquiring dollars to repay the Fed.
The Fed is now paper-money printer for the entire world.

We have seen interventions by central banks throughout the world to weaken the dollar and prop up the euro. Moreover, this foreign currency intervention was accompanied by actions on other markets as well. Stocks rallied, commodities recovered. It was a sort of miraculous recovery.
The current round of interventions will not solve the problems. Printing money doesn't fix the underlying problems. No matter what they do, these actions just roil markets in crazy ways.
The price of insuring a 5-year French governement bond is now higher that the price of insuring various "junk" or "near-junk" sovereign borrowers.

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DJIA as on December 4 of 2011

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 2:15 pm

It was very hot on DJIA and the heat was from institutional players and their emission of CO2 and methane/ethane. All in all we have unusual high temperatures for this month of the year.
We are not interested in cloud movement but in the convection energy.
Decemeber is warm and dry. For more precipitation we need DJIA to go to 11934.
There are two UPOs
at 11572
and 11516
waiting to be revisited some time in the future.
If somebody forgets them in the USA, never mind, Japan is bound to remember.
Remember, remember the last day of November.
Friday ended with a tone bearish.
The recent trigger down has got 80 pips. Its 5.8664 expansion would bring prices to below the first UPO.
Attachments
djia4.12.gif
djia4.12.gif (29.86 KiB) Viewed 166 times

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EURUSD update 4.12

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 9:36 pm

EURUSD did not make it 3.5699 of a small trigger down.
The semafor3 was painted near a local low and then showed a small trigger up.
Friday ended with a tone up.
The chart attached still has that intervention event. The period after it is almost uneventful.
The major issue is 1.3600. How to break through it.
Another chart shows a heavy selling from 1.3600 on November 14 and on return
to it four days later.
Near term this big figure line is crucial.
No talk about the euro's strength as yet.
Though the energy is there what can be observed from yet another chart and a trigger future expansion.
Please note that EURUSD climbed 2,4220=1.3741 of the same trigger up.
Precision is there.
When there is precision, we can count on science behind it.

When 2.4220 shows it is not to be forgotten soon but to remember. It is not to do nothing but to do something. The other two highs from November 30 and Decemeber 1 are not that important.
But 1.3541 is very important. You do not have a more important line on the way to 1.3600.

When science is there, trust it.
When science is not there, mistrust it.

I do show an objective material with determinants of the market.
Attachments
eurusd4.12xxx.gif
eurusd4.12xxx.gif (43.47 KiB) Viewed 155 times
eurusd4.12xx.gif
eurusd4.12xx.gif (38.29 KiB) Viewed 156 times
eurusd4.12x.gif
eurusd4.12x.gif (44.95 KiB) Viewed 157 times
eurusd4.12.gif
eurusd4.12.gif (34.85 KiB) Viewed 159 times

Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD on 4.12

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 10:34 pm

GBPUSD looks pretty weak as compared with EURUSD.
Friday ended with a tone down.
The recent triggers up were small and expanded 14.208 times their sizes.
Attachments
gbpusd4.12.gif
gbpusd4.12.gif (37.78 KiB) Viewed 151 times

Paul&Paul
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CHFPLN on Dec.4

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Dec 04, 2011 10:44 pm

CHFPLN needs closes below 3.6123 to slide more and closes firmer than 3.6439
to resume rallies.
Friday closed with PLN firmer.
Attachments
chfpln4.12.gif
chfpln4.12.gif (39.27 KiB) Viewed 149 times

Paul&Paul
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EURUSD update 5.12

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Dec 05, 2011 7:47 pm

EURUSD climbed 4.669 times the size of a trigger up.
All the way up the vector field orientation was pointing the other direction. And eventually EURUSD slid from 1.3480 100 pips.
Attachments
eurusd5.12.gif
eurusd5.12.gif (35.88 KiB) Viewed 148 times

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