My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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EURCAD 29.11 and basic things

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Nov 29, 2011 4:13 am

The vector field orientation pointing down and no new trigger up despite a semafor3 at the lows.
EURCAD hovers near 9.1299 of a trigger down.
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Paul&Paul
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GOLD updated on Nov. 29.

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Nov 29, 2011 4:45 am

GOLD H4.
Almost 2.4220=1722.45 but not quite yet.
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ElRolfo
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Re: It is a sort of intervention - EURUSD Nov.27

Postby ElRolfo » Tue Nov 29, 2011 6:38 am

Paul&Paul wrote:It is a sort of intervention - EURUSD Nov.27.
Looks riduculous for such a market like foreign exchange market.
Times are abnormal.
This is one of the weapons in hands of market players. Opened almost at the UPO @ 1.3322. So far no good.


Gap or no Gap, thats the question so often.

On IG Markets I see a gap too.

But Oanda shows no Gap. (I will try to attach a screenshot)

I watched EURUSD live on Sunday evening, the rise was
steady but it took more than 2 hours .
Attachments
eurusd20111129.gif
OANDA MT4 Chart of EURUSD H1 with no big gap on the 27th of November 2011
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Paul&Paul
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A gap or no gap - that is the question

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 30, 2011 8:23 pm

We do not get exactly same charts and same candle work from different on-line brokers with sometimes serious consequences for TA signals.
The problem is when markets really start on Sunday evening. Reuters, which targets professional users, shows different hours for different crosses, sometimes 9.00 p.m., sometimes 8.00, sometimes 9.30. Retail brokers mostly begin at 11.00 p.m.
Another problem is what to do with occasional trading on Saturdays. But I recall only one major movement on majors on a Saturday in the course of more than a decade.

In our recent example the market moved from one territory of the close to another territory when it opened and it does not matter how it did it but it matters that it did it.

My first thought was about an intervention. A one which has not been officially acknowledged but nevertheless it was an intervention, or a prelude to it if you like.

The subsequent events on majors prove that I was right. A well thought and carefully planned consorted action by several central banks took place while the media were shedding tears over the inaction of market players and the doom.

You have got a mixture of market control weaponry, hypocrisy and misguidance. The thing is that an intervention means quite different things for different market participants. It is a huge source of profits for those who are on the right side of it and who are leveraged adequately.

The Paulson story (from Bloomberg today) shows that it is possible to give hedge funds advance word.

My story will tell you how well prepared the event was. EURUSD is a very good evidence.

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The modern history of EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 30, 2011 9:16 pm

First study the chart with the gap.
Then move to the second chart with two vital borders of chaos:
1.3269
1.3259. These acted as supports.
Then see a trigger up and its expansion of more than 9.1299.
1.3490 is there and the market retreated from above.
What strikes is that the intervention took place immediately after the trigger up.
A finely tuned action it was.
Very precise.
They acted exactly in tune with the nature of chaos. Do you think the timing was coincidential? Do you believe the gap was coincidential? Do you really believe in coincidences on such markets?
Did not I tell you that chaos allows control?

One of the consequences of these assertions is that this crisis should be viewed
in a very non-traditional way since now you have evidence that they are able to control chaos. You cannot believe all they tell you about the outcomes. They won't tell the true story. In one of the episodes you will be forced to cry for their poor faring and dear costs keeping from you everything what pertains to gaining huge huge profits. Poor lads getting fatter and fatter.
If you look at it the way I propose and invariably support, you will suddenly notice that they have already gained a lot of money from the public, but nevertheless they do not temper their desire to drain the public from other angles as well. They should stop crying those tears now. Stop acting poor lads. Have got more than tell people to combat the evil of the crisis.
The Bank of England joined the Federal Reserve, the Bank of Japan, the ECB, the Bank of Canada and the Swiss National Bank in taking the measures. Stock markets around the world surged after the central banks said they would cut the price of emergency dollar loans to cash-strapped banks by 0.5 percentage points, and extend the scheme until February 2013.
Chaos shows that we may see a third leg of this intervention in the near future. 9.1299 is not enough. All went well so 14.208 should not be any problem.

A lot of money has been generated to tackle the problem of this crisis. There is enough of it to overcome the crisis. Without dramatic changes in taxes or other regulations. It is untrue that they do wait and see. They are buying time to make more money. And they have other goals than helping as well.
They are not printing money, they generate it on the markets. It is real and
available. Money growing geometrically. All you need is time and eventful world. Ha, haven't we got it?
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ElRolfo
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Postby ElRolfo » Thu Dec 01, 2011 9:23 am

You overrate my thoughts in my last comment.

I saw that gap on Your chart, and on my chart was no gap - thats all.

For me as a simple Trader it was a nice and easy Sunday evening.

Maybe the reason for the move was an intervention, or maybe some people
knew already of the consultation for the agreement which was published
yesterday 8:00am EST, and which produced another big move.

I dont know, I just traded it.

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TygerKrane
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Re: It is a sort of intervention - EURUSD Nov.27

Postby TygerKrane » Thu Dec 01, 2011 1:15 pm

ElRolfo wrote:Gap or no Gap, thats the question so often.

On IG Markets I see a gap too.

But Oanda shows no Gap. (I will try to attach a screenshot)

I watched EURUSD live on Sunday evening, the rise was
steady but it took more than 2 hours .


ElRolfo,
If you took that Long trade after the pullback to 1.3280 area (lower dashed lines), very nice indeed.
As a simple Trader (), would you mind discussing your entry trigger on that one?
If you care to reply, maybe you can post it in my thread, since this is Paul&Paul's home.

Thanks,
Krane

**Krane catches Tyger** !>I'm here to chew bubble gum and make major pips...and I'm all out of bubble gum.<!

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On the margin of it all

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Dec 01, 2011 10:37 pm

You saw numerous demonstrations of non-trivial non-linearity of financial markets in which major roles are divided among major market players: non-transparent banks and secretive non-regulated funds.

It is more than a 12-round bout.

You saw that banks as an industry did not really know what they were doing and who was doing what and for what a price. Their level of internal ignorance is stunning. More stunning is their global ignorance and their lack of vision about the consequences of such a state of affairs.

We were being fed by fables of their first class competences, sophisticated
laboratories of leveraged money making. At some point of time this would-be sophistication turned into unmanagable s**t. Suddenly the naked truth was that they only pretended to having employed good workable methods and top class innovative specialists.

Suddenly, the truth was that they had been lying about the scientific tools used by those well-bred ignorants and piece by piece, inch by inch they eventually suffered defeat, in some cases on a nation-wide scale, in other cases even globally.

They have been defeated by powerful (hedge) funds - the entities of the richies who never risked ignorance.

The statistics of banks going bust says it all.
Despite the devastating facts, banks still enjoy the same privilages in modern societies as decades ago, and there is a constant divergence between their sky-rocketing emoluments, bonuses and benefits versus their appalling incompetence.

Given the fact of the power of private funds in terms of capital in hand and knowledge and science, no rescue plan can rejoice the public. This is a severe system instability. There is no good rescue plan for a zombie.
The problem is that ruling politicians are too tied to the banking sector and too dependent on bankers to smell the s**t. That is why this crisis has been going for so long and no ending to it can be seen, no happy light is in the tunnel as yet.

You saw that in some time frames catastrophies are rife and the biggest problem is when they become visible in really large scales. There is no global regulator who would monitor global system serious instabilities. There is nobody who can grasp the total effect of leveraged transactions on the financial system as a whole. Yet, somehow we are forced to worry about the emission of CO2.

In banks of today we may not trust at all. Seeing what they do and how they do and what they get for that, makes more and more people sick. Sicker even more on the revelations who is to pay for that. Losses socialized, profits privatized. Absolutely ludicrous.

Take notice that there is an uproar about some market players and dead silence about some other kind of market players. There has been a mega forte about the losses and a triple pianissimo about the profits. It appears that the Moon is not alone in showing only one side of the face.

For every trade you need a buyer and a seller. You cannot buy if nobody wants to sell and you cannot sell if nobody wants to buy.

The moment we return again to basic arythmetic rules which more often than not we are denied, we will understand more and will see the other side of the Moon, carefully turned away from our eyes by all means.

You can cheat most people most of the time, but you cannot cheat all the people all of the time.

EURUSD has no new story after the intervention. This flagship pair has gone sideways until further notice. In sea terms, EURUSD is drifting. What an amazing flagship.

It strikes that people fear there is another strike at stake. Central banks acted diligently and gloriously accurately.

It would be naive to think that they aimed at changing the market prices only. They acted to raise good money from people around the world. They need more and more. So the stakes are high that curious participants caught unaware will have to pocket out more.

Then they are bound to turn to the passive public. Taxes, duties. You are very very lucky. This is life and this practice is not novel.

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On the margin of it all

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Dec 01, 2011 10:40 pm

The clones of the last post were unintentional and are a result of some communication failure.
Last edited by Paul&Paul on Sat Dec 03, 2011 6:15 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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GOLD H4 updated

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Dec 01, 2011 10:41 pm

GOLD managed 1756.92 quite well.
It needs 1735.64 to make more from a recent trigger down.
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