My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 09, 2011 5:11 pm

GBPJPY marked 129.03 and 128.96 in a special way. The first is a 3.5699 fractal expansion, the second one is a UPO. GBPJPY clearly shows the importance of that region in July. It looks like a support but in chaos it shows instability in the south direction.
We have a UPO @ 130.48 from the topside of the chart.
The equilibrium line comes at 129.94.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 09, 2011 5:13 pm

GBPJPY marked 129.03 and 128.96 in a special way. The first is a 3.5699 fractal expansion, the second one is a UPO. GBPJPY clearly shows the importance of that region in July. It looks like a support but in chaos it shows instability in the south direction.
We have a UPO @ 130.48 from the topside of the chart.
The equilibrium line comes at 129.94.
Attachments
gbpjpy8.07.gif
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AUDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 09, 2011 5:22 pm

AUDUSD.
We have slightly different new best buy and best sell but the equilibrium line has not moved at all and is still in the same place.

There are two expansions unfinished. To the upside AUDUSD should go to 1.0790=4.669.

To the downside the nearest target is 1.0696. AUDUSD retraced in a messy way.
The picture is bullish.
There is a UPO @ 1.0730 and 1.0692. AUDUSD is bound to return to those orbits some time in the future.

Using the concept of a complex set (A) of best buy and worst buy between two semafors3
and a complex set (B) of best sell and worst sell
it is possible to determine the area where long positions were most likely to defend gains. That area is marked with a blue rectangle.

The result obtained that way fits very well the actual situation on the M30 chart. There is a line @ 1.0703 below which longs would have given up defence. At the the line 1.0703 best buy and worst buy have nil profit and farther down they would go into a floating loss.

At the close of Friday best buy and worst buy still have +47 pips altogether, while best sell and worst sell -77 pips.
It interesting to note that the defence area appears below the equilibrium line.
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Paul&Paul
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USDCAD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 8:11 am

USDCAD.

Interesting that the breakeven level for best buy and worst buy is @ 9662 which is almost exactly the same as three fractal expansions of three triggers up.

There was just once chance for such buys to exit without a loss.

For best sell and worst sell the breakeven line is at 9623. Currently a modest profit of +18, while buys are having a loss of -57.

4.669 of the trigger down is at 9529. So far it completed 3.5699.
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US flash news at S&P500

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 10:59 am

S&P500.
One hour before the release of the US non-farm payrolls there occurred a trigger down which dragged the index to the levels of two UPOs. The spike to over 1353.5 looks sinister.
The news did not cause a perturbation. The market realized what was in the system before 14:30.
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UK100 knew it a day before

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 11:20 am

UK100 knew it a day before. Would you believe it?
The market slumped after a trigger from July 7.
Also here the spike to over 6044 looks very strange.

The release of the US data merely confimed the bias in the stock market.
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DE30

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 11:29 am

DE30.
Germans created a trigger down one hour before the US news.
The index plummeted 14.208.
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BUND10Y

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 11:40 am

BUND10Y.
One hour before the US news there was already a new trigger up.
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GBPUSD M5

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 2:48 pm

GBPUSD M5.
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USDCHF very difficult

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 10, 2011 5:19 pm

USDCHF is probably one of the most difficult currency pairs to analyse and trade. It was in 1998. One needs to keep this in mind and not excite overly a few exceptions here and there.

The US non-farm payrolls purturbed USDCHF to a great extent. Before the release of the data there was little in the system indicating a plunge of about 140 pips in such a short time. It did plummet though and Friday closed bearish.
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