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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD M3

Post by Paul&Paul »

GBPUSD M3.
The area of strong selling from July 5 is what the game is for.
GBPUSD is not far from 1.5605, the UPO to which once the market returned on the same day.
A lower UPO at 1.5565 was taken and GBPUSD closed higher on Friday.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD M30

Post by Paul&Paul »

GBPUSD M30.
Friday ended with a tone up.
The nearest UPOs from the upside in this scale are @ 1.5627, 1.5635 and 1.5650.
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Paul&Paul
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AUDUSD M30

Post by Paul&Paul »

AUDUSD M30 ended with a tone up.
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Paul&Paul
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EURJPY M30

Post by Paul&Paul »

EURJPY M30.
Friday ended with a tone up.
The UPOs waiting for a return to them are 97.22 and 97.76. EURJPY will not go near 97.76 to rest but to break it.
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Paul&Paul
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USDCAD M30

Post by Paul&Paul »

USDCAD M30.
Friday ended with a tone down.
However the market is bound to return to 1.0209 some time in future.
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Paul&Paul
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WIG20

Post by Paul&Paul »

WIG20 M30.
Friday ended with a tone up.
Completed exactly 5.8664 of the trigger up.
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Paul&Paul
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Price making under scrutiny

Post by Paul&Paul »

A report commissioned by the G20 group of the world's biggest economies has warned oil prices could be vulnerable to a Libor-style rigging scandal.

According to the International Organization of Securities Commissions (IOSCO), the current system of oil price reporting is "susceptible to manipulation or distortion."


It is a bigger problem than Libor, Wibor or OIL.
The question is prices of what financial products are NOT susceptible to manipulation or distortion?
Are there any?
Both the Libor inter-bank lending rate at the heart of a global rate-rigging scandal and spot oil prices are based on a system of trust. They are, effectively, unregulated.
The current financial crisis shows that little can be trusted. A system of trust failed on all fronts.
Traders at various banks voluntarily report the prices. The price reporting agency decides what the benchmark price, quoted to the outside world, should be.
Manipulation or distortion means that some orders cannot be filled.
In other words, things may go wrong, though for most cases with small and moderate noise intensity, transient processes and asymptotic properties of the system are more or less deterministic. The bifurcation processes are not much affected by noises. Deviation from deterministic behaviors occurs only if the system is subject to large noises.
Noise effects depend on the non-linearity of a given model. Hopf bifurcation is always postponed by noises.
In practice the market can suddenly make a U-turn from a forecasted target or postpone a further fractal expansion.
Paul&Paul
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OIL M30

Post by Paul&Paul »

OIL M30.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD

Post by Paul&Paul »

GBPUSD.

Friday ended with a tone up.
The nearest UPOs from the upside in this scale are @ 1.5627, 1.5635 and 1.5650.

Today GBPUSD has gone to 1.5653, and thus it returned to the before indicated UPOs.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN

Post by Paul&Paul »

USDPLN ended Friday with a tone up.
Crucial is 3.4579 above which a new world begins, not to the liking of "policy makers". Our illusory debt stability will be vaporizing then.
At that time of the past it did not seem an inappropriate action to auction more bonds to finance and refinance debt.
Recently the IMF asserted that the biggest threat to the financial markets is a lack of rigging.
In other words, markets properly blindfolded by governments behave more properly than without a black patch on one of the eyes.
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