Blind Mouse Strategy

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prochargedmopar
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Postby prochargedmopar » Fri May 14, 2010 11:12 am

IN-XS wrote:Glad I am not the only one with direction problems. Got +35 on this little trade, dont know how much further it is going to go, so I got out.

Image


notice the difference that one candle over on CC indy makes.
YOur chart looks short all the way.

Mental bias distortion.
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bredin
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Postby bredin » Fri May 14, 2010 11:34 am

Is this the bottom for GU this week?

Image

theoretical entry at marked candle, green dashed lines are S&R.

edit: not the same CC as my earlier pics, I had to move them to find the S&R as MO described on page 1.... 2 Fat Cats and a Wick Doll, if I understand correctly ;)

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bredin
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Postby bredin » Fri May 14, 2010 11:39 am

prochargedmopar wrote:
IN-XS wrote:Glad I am not the only one with direction problems. Got +35 on this little trade, dont know how much further it is going to go, so I got out.

Image


notice the difference that one candle over on CC indy makes.
YOur chart looks short all the way.

Mental bias distortion.


Pro, INXS charts are GU, wasnt yours EU?

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Postby IN-XS » Fri May 14, 2010 11:41 am

No mine was GU also and I was thinking that was the bottom of it aswell, hence why I closed my previous trade and at the moment it does seem to have changed direction. CC closing higher now.

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IN-XS
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Postby IN-XS » Fri May 14, 2010 11:45 am

We could be sitting in a "fat cat" area at the moment. I might wait for it to settle a bit and then look for an entry long. Wish I knew when we are in a fat cat area and not just guess!

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Postby bredin » Fri May 14, 2010 11:55 am

Lets see if we get a close across S&R to be sure :)

I was also wondering exactly where the bottom would be, I can see a FatCat S&R on the D3 chart, about a year old roughly at 1.45345 (where price is now)... I dont know of this counts as a probable S&R rejection place for the D1 candle to reverse from....

I can see that you might take a few small hits finding that extreme.

Gotta go to bed now, weve got a full day saturday (tomorrow), but will see if I can get up again in a few hours to check progress.... and if MO is pointing and laughing at my efforts :lol:

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Postby IN-XS » Fri May 14, 2010 12:07 pm

Yeah it does seem to be bumping into some on H4, where I placed the white line. This could be a possible reverse?!

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Postby newark18 » Fri May 14, 2010 12:43 pm

Retraction: I don't think hedging belongs in this strategy even in STFs.
Last edited by newark18 on Fri May 14, 2010 2:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Postby IN-XS » Fri May 14, 2010 12:59 pm

Got a nice +50 on this trade. Entered on the wick where the white arrow is. This was based on the CC closing higher and I was catching the pullback, closed out at the target 2 line, as it seemed to look like good S&R.

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Postby newark18 » Fri May 14, 2010 1:01 pm

This is my attempt at blind mouse using STFs. I know that was not suggested by MO but I tried anyway. Worked out for 58 pips even though I got in way too late. :)

There were wicks in the initial S&R area that I could have used for entry.

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