2009.03.17 TRO - NEVER LOSE AGAIN!!

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bredin
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Postby bredin » Thu Aug 12, 2010 1:06 pm

DO NOT REVERSE ON A BREAKOUT CANDLE.

I had to shout, its been said a lot....

G.
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turboeskimo
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Postby turboeskimo » Thu Aug 12, 2010 1:24 pm

Hmmm... Where to reverse than? What's breakout and what's not how to determine? We have semaphore and don't know if it breakout candle or not.

jsme
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Postby jsme » Thu Aug 12, 2010 1:52 pm

wszymilo wrote:Ok - assuming niedzwiedz's case: shall I go long upon resistance breakouts then ?

EDIT: Additional question: which 1H bar's color should I take into consideration: current one or rather the one that just has closed ?


For myself. I trade with the direction of the last completed hour candle. But I only trade this type of set up IF the pair is not within 20 pips of the daily high or low.
To me this is a secondary type of trade, the primary type being one within 20 pips of the daily low ( I am a green rat).

Once I have identified the H1 candle, I will then look to the current M5 candle.
Assuming the H1 is in a upward direction and not within 20 pips of the daily low or high. I look at the M5 candles for the following:
A red candle.
A green candle following.
The following candle, enter at the high of the previous candle (the green one)
Stop 5 pips
TP is what I can get, based upon how fast the market is moving in my favor. At the first signs of weakness, I exit the trade.

jsme
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Postby jsme » Thu Aug 12, 2010 2:04 pm

"Now, 2 patterns of market behavior happen on a regular basis:

1) the price breaks to new high's (or low's)

2) the price reverses from new high's (or low's)

They happen regardless of time frame (with the obvious limitations explained above)

They are phenomena that can be exploited without the fear if found out by others, that they might cease to exist." - H. Rearden

That is from TRO. It is the primary trade set up I use. One of the questions I had while trying to understand this simple trading idea was.
How am I to be certain I am entering on the daily low?
I was over thinking the problem. All I need to do is. Watch the chart. When a daily low is made....it is the daily low until it is replaced by a yet to come new daily low.
But before that yet to come daily low arrives, I treat the low as ....the low.
I then look for the green candle that follows the red candle and go from there. Assuming the set up occurs within 20 pips of the low.
What TRO explained in a long ago post was. Statically, when prices are within 20 pips of a daily high or low, with a reversing candle set up.
You will make money. (that is not word for word I am going off of memory)
Sometimes lots of pips sometimes just a few.

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bredin
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Postby bredin » Thu Aug 12, 2010 9:59 pm

Image

WAIT for sema to settle.
THEN enter.

G.
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Humble
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Postby Humble » Fri Aug 13, 2010 2:34 am

Perhaps you could code your indi so a high 3 sema is red and a low one green.
Is price closing higher or lower than something? Simple yet powerful question. ..MO

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bredin
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Postby bredin » Fri Aug 13, 2010 3:25 am

Guys can change colors for themselves using the inputs :)

Besides, the issue is patience ;)

G.
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niedzwiedz
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Postby niedzwiedz » Fri Aug 13, 2010 5:47 am

bredin wrote:
WAIT for sema to settle.
THEN enter.

G.


Bredin thank You !!
This picture helped me understand

Humble
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Postby Humble » Fri Aug 13, 2010 5:51 am

I was thinking if they only went short after a red 3 sema and long after a green 3 sema, they would have to be patient. :wink:
Is price closing higher or lower than something? Simple yet powerful question. ..MO

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genlogins
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Postby genlogins » Sun Oct 10, 2010 9:58 pm

I have been practicing for about 3 weeks with the NLA indicator on a demo and loosing all time.

Last Friday at around 14 hrs London, with the fast movement of the EUR/USD I think I saw the light.

And that light came when I was using my Tick Indicator and entered a trade at the midle of that wanderful retracement of 1 minute. I saw on the Tick indicator that the price was bouncing too much around the same values, and thas for me the indication of reversal. I entered big time with the highest lot the account could hold as soon as price started to move fast on the Tick Indicator.

But A few seconds before entering, just as price was bouncing at the same value I herd the sound of NLA Indicator.
So, I whent to M5 to look what that NLA indicator was doing, and there it was, ----- buy -----.

I think I was loosing before because I did not allow the price to get to the hit the outer values of NLA indicator. You see I have a very tight Stop Loos = 1.8 pip.

I hope soon to have mastered this. I would love to master the RAT instead.

TRO and others, thanks for your help in advance, G
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