Postby eudamonia » Thu Apr 02, 2009 4:18 pm
Avery,
Agreed. A few times a week we will typically get a decent breakout that will sustain for several hours. Many folks try fading the trend and get burned.
Things to look for: 1) big news days, 2) fast market "pace", 3) high volatility, 4) strong support/resistance at wholesale retracements, 5) hourly candles consistently making new higher highs or lower lows.
Days like this are actually fantastic opportunities if played well. I have two favorite plays: 1) look to buy/sell "wholesale" retracements (i.e. look at the retracement that touched support on your chart at 13:15), 2) fade the "barf". This requires a bit of practice. Basically you are waiting for a retracement play to expend itself (usually in stages) when the losing side (sellers this morning) barfs their positions and prices surge to try to make new highs - but can't quite make it. Perfect fading opportunity.
Edward
Eudaimonia (pron.: you-die-moan-e-a) (Greek: εὐδαιμονία) is a classical Greek word commonly translated as 'happiness'. The less subjective "human flourishing" is often preferred as a translation.