PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

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IgazI
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:02 pm

bb01100100 wrote:
IgazI wrote:A fractional position is like a pufferfish; you make yourself really large so as to not get eaten, and then you shrink to size when you are out of danger.

Some people just see: small size, more movement, same risk, less profit, but this is a very short-sighted way to look at it; not losing your bank is step #1 of making money, you can't just skip to step #2 and think that everything is going to turn out ok.



Hello; are you referring to trading higher timeframes or something else? I was literally thinking about this just now.. larger timeframe, smaller size over larger space and longer waiting times. Not in a negative sense, more in terms of "ok, that's how it is, so how do you adapt to that?"

I'm still thinking about what you said a while back .. "price has moved hundreds of pips so why haven't you made hundreds of pips?"


It's a given that I am taking note of the weekly, looking to trade the H4, and using M1 to reduce risk.

A fractional position, like 2 of 5 contracts, can absord 2.5x larger swings for the same fixed amount of currency risk; by trading smaller, you have "made yourself larger".

Intsead of worrying about getting taken out on a random price-spike, or turning pale in the face of volatility, you can focus on what you need to do; whether or not there is a technical reason why you should get in or out.

There is another thing that makes you large, and that is profit; if the only thing that you can lose are your winnings then you're only going to be worried about not maximizing profit.

The closer you get to full size the more you have to be immediately right about the market direction.

Stops get taken out all of the time, but if that stop is connected to a larger size that is in profit then it's not so bad;

what you don't want is to get stopped out all of the time while trying to make a profit.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Wed Aug 30, 2023 12:46 pm

These price moves. . .
we tapped $990, that was nice to see.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Fri Sep 01, 2023 2:24 pm

They are melting paper-gold today I see :lol:

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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Sun Sep 03, 2023 1:27 am

I gave out silver and they were looking at me like they didn't know what it was. . .

If I said, "$20 or a 1 oz of silver", they'd probably take the $20 :|

Maybe next time I'll say $20 or 1 oz of platinum :lol: make it interesting.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ”

Postby bb01100100 » Tue Sep 05, 2023 10:41 am

Hello IgazI; as I sit on my hands waiting for EUR/JPY to move for or against my trade idea, I’m thinking about the other 127 instruments that Oanda offers me and how I’d go about selecting which to trade if a pattern of interest formed.

That got me thinking about “exposure”.. eg if EUR/JPY looks trade worthy, then it’s likely that so will GBP/JPY and probably USD/JPY.. trading all three and being wrong on all three at the same time would be a poor outcome, so some common sense is needed. The same is also somewhat true with USD quoted pairs, indices, bonds.. they are predominantly a bet on dollar strength/weakness.

Having a largish universe of instruments, some pragmatic exposure filters could be:
- no more than x% of total capital risked on any one quote currency at the same time.. eg JPY, USD. I could then choose fewer but larger trade units, or more but smaller trade units.. that might get awkward since so many things are USD quoted (fx, indices, bonds).
- no more than x quantity of trades per “category” at the same time, eg fx, indices, bonds, metals (perhaps that limit is 1 if I expect to be active across categories.. it sure ate this stage)

My “home” currency is AUD, so there is inevitable fx risk baked into anything I do.

I am looking to be pragmatic/sensible rather than having some complex model, so I thought I’d check to see if you have needed to address this and have any thoughts.

Thanks,
Baked.

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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ”

Postby IgazI » Tue Sep 05, 2023 7:14 pm

bb01100100 wrote:Hello IgazI; as I sit on my hands waiting for EUR/JPY to move for or against my trade idea, I’m thinking about the other 127 instruments that Oanda offers me and how I’d go about selecting which to trade if a pattern of interest formed.

That got me thinking about “exposure”.. eg if EUR/JPY looks trade worthy, then it’s likely that so will GBP/JPY and probably USD/JPY.. trading all three and being wrong on all three at the same time would be a poor outcome, so some common sense is needed. The same is also somewhat true with USD quoted pairs, indices, bonds.. they are predominantly a bet on dollar strength/weakness.

Having a largish universe of instruments, some pragmatic exposure filters could be:
- no more than x% of total capital risked on any one quote currency at the same time.. eg JPY, USD. I could then choose fewer but larger trade units, or more but smaller trade units.. that might get awkward since so many things are USD quoted (fx, indices, bonds).
- no more than x quantity of trades per “category” at the same time, eg fx, indices, bonds, metals (perhaps that limit is 1 if I expect to be active across categories.. it sure ate this stage)

My “home” currency is AUD, so there is inevitable fx risk baked into anything I do.

I am looking to be pragmatic/sensible rather than having some complex model, so I thought I’d check to see if you have needed to address this and have any thoughts.

Thanks,
Baked.


As someone who holds for longer periods of time, I would stick to trading metals, energy, and agriculture.

Create a separate folder for each market (gold, beans, oil, etc), and in each folder record the money that is allocated to margin and risk:

If it takes $3000 to trade 6 contracts, then you need to deposit $4285.71 and record $1285.71 as risk.
6max.
Margin: $3000 (70%) <= increases, but never decreases.
Risk: $1285.71 (30%) <= can go to zero.

At some point you might double your minimum size, and then it will look something like:
12max.
Margin: $6000
Risk : $1286+
. . . or you might use the funds to trade a new market.

Think of each folder as starting a new business; the margin is what the building costs, the risk is what it takes to operate the business.

There is no 'per trade' risk, there is only risk; if it goes to zero then you're out of business, that's all you need to know.

This is the way I do it, but most people will not do it this way, because it prohibits you from market hopping or losing half of your money and pretending that you've not blown your account.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Mon Sep 11, 2023 12:49 am

Someone had the bright idea to drop mosquitoes from above and now every gd-where I go I am breathing these SOB into my lungs; they are everywhere.

My unstable side half believes that their purpose is to spread the zombie-virus :lol:

Anyone else experiencing the same thing?
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Mon Sep 11, 2023 2:15 am

I want to like silver. . .but I don't :lol:

It is a cheap way to make kids happy though :lol:

Of the silver that I have purchased, I enjoy the Tombstone nuggets the most.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby aliassmith » Mon Sep 11, 2023 5:07 am

IgazI wrote:Someone had the bright idea to drop mosquitoes from above and now every gd-where I go I am breathing these SOB into my lungs; they are everywhere.

My unstable side half believes that their purpose is to spread the zombie-virus :lol:

Anyone else experiencing the same thing?


It did seem like there were a lot of mosquitoes recently.
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Re: PowerX Strategy "PowerZ"

Postby IgazI » Tue Sep 12, 2023 2:02 pm

I purchased this the other day; is this lazy or is this lazy :lol:

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Metals are cheaper, I see.

Physical platinum for under $1000 is a buy.
Gold is expensive, but I'm still buying 1 for every 6 platinum.
Silver. . .you're probably better off just trading paper silver.

Platinum is like bitcoin (don't hit me with that newspaper):
1) its density attests to itself.
2) it's rare, there are not enough .9995 platinum ounces above ground for everyone.
3) its mines are in the most unfortunate location possible (Africa and Russia) :lol:
4) it's divisible

1 gram of platinum is $29.61 and you can buy it for $45.59.
1 satoshi is $0.25, $60.12 after transaction costs :lol:

Once physical assets are, in the future, tokenized, how are they any different than bitcoin?

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