Postby eudamonia » Fri Mar 28, 2008 5:51 am
Scottcap,
Craigaudio and I had a good discussion and analysis of doubling down after one loss. This may feel good psychologically but it makes not sense for your profits. You have the same winning % on the first trade as the second. So why should the second trade be at 2x the risk?
You could certainly take only the first setup of the hour. However, you will only catch clean breakout hours. I prefer to take the 1st setup in each direction each hour so that I can catch breakouts and reversals (but by limiting myself to 2 trades per hour I don't give preference to choppy hours.
On your second question again it depends on your objectives. Certainly you could filter out trades that are against the hourly trend, however, counter trend trades may also be profitable. What is your objective (are you just taking quick scalps or are you looking to ride your trades a bit)?
To answer your third question is tough without knowing what objectives you are looking at. Each setup is going to have approximately the winning % without knowing what context it is in.
I strongly suggest YOU spend some time with the BuyZone and see what works and what doesn't. Having me tell you these things (or anyone else) may not be as helpful.
Edward
Eudaimonia (pron.: you-die-moan-e-a) (Greek: εὐδαιμονία) is a classical Greek word commonly translated as 'happiness'. The less subjective "human flourishing" is often preferred as a translation.