My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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OIL as on 6.03

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 06, 2012 7:12 pm

Oil as on 6.03.

Oil is bound to return to the following UPOs:

120.68
120.37
122.89

some time in the future.

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Paul&Paul
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NZDUSD as on 6.03

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 06, 2012 8:04 pm

NZDUSD as on 6.03.

Serious instability downwards and still an incompleted slump to 8065.
There is a tiny trigger up, yet the selling areas look really strong.
The major strength sellers showed near 8210. It all began on February 29 with a massive trigger down of 70 pips.
Attachments
nzdusd6.03.gif
nzdusd6.03.gif (19.36 KiB) Viewed 231 times

Paul&Paul
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EURUSD as on 6.03

Postby Paul&Paul » Tue Mar 06, 2012 8:38 pm

EURUSD as on 6.03.

The following UPOs have been detected:

1.3213
1.3201
1.3141
1.3133.

EURUSD is bound to return to them some time in the future.
Well, not very soon.

On the downside there is a UPO @ 1.3018.
Nothing else matters more than 1.3018 now.
Attachments
eurusd6.03x.gif
eurusd6.03x.gif (22.69 KiB) Viewed 228 times

Paul&Paul
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EURUSD as on 9.03

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Mar 09, 2012 8:59 pm

EURUSD as on 9.03.


On 6.03. the following UPOs were detected:

1.3213
1.3201
1.3141
1.3133.

EURUSD returned to all of them.

There is a galore of new UPOs, marked in red.


On the downside there is a UPO @ 1.3018.
Nothing else matters more than 1.3018 now.
Attachments
eurusd9.03x.gif
eurusd9.03x.gif (35.29 KiB) Viewed 210 times
eurusd9.03.gif
eurusd9.03.gif (32.78 KiB) Viewed 211 times

Paul&Paul
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USDJPY almost 6 months after intervention

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 3:55 am

USDJPY almost 6 months after the intervention of the BOJ climbs still higher.
We cannot compare that intervention to any other intervention in the history of currency markets.

It is probably the first successful intervention by a central bank in the history of financial markets, and its success must be measured by how lasting the initiated depreciation of the yen has been so far.

As I wrote on October 23, I expected the intervention to be conducted from a 75.62=14.208. Indeed USDJPY dropped to 75.55 and on the same candle BOJ launched a massive attack against the yen.

Yesterday, March 9 of 2012, USDJPY closed @ 82.44 and that is almost well over 600, almost 700 pips from the historical low.

Some textbooks will have to be rewritten on that account.
Attachments
usdjpy10.03.gif
usdjpy10.03.gif (27.13 KiB) Viewed 205 times

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To understand KGHM

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:09 am

To understand what is going on on KGHM, the copper giant of Poland, one needs to go three weeks back to where the market was on February 20.

In the system detected were two UPOs
@ 136.81 and
138.49.

Those Unstable Periodic Orbits are the major places where the buying spree was initiated and the major reefrence levels how the market evolved above and on returning to them.

At the moment the 138.49 level is intact.
See the line on another chart attached painted red at the bottom.
The buyers are doing quite fine.

They have been able to regain a lot of the lost ground from the recent highs. Sellers from 145.30 and 147.09 surrendered but those from 151.00 keep well.

The bottom of the blue triangle on the top left marks loads of orders triggered and those people are being tested for stamina now.
KGHM posted four UPOs on the way up. It is amazing that the recent rise was due to an almost nothing. That small trigger up has nil pips inside.
It is like rising from ashes, from nothing real. Still, prices soared back again to over 148.00.

The week ended with a trigger down though.
So look what will happen if and when KGHM drops to 145.11.
Also note that when KGHM closes firmly above 148.38, it will be not for going sideways but to break 151.06.
Attachments
kghm10.03x.gif
kghm10.03x.gif (36.45 KiB) Viewed 200 times
kghm10.03.gif
kghm10.03.gif (34.99 KiB) Viewed 202 times

Paul&Paul
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EURCAD as on 10.03

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 4:59 am

EURCAD.
Friday ended with a tone up. There are two tiny triggers up.
There is little energy in them yet EURCAD may test the low of the blue triangle
and that is 1.3084.
EURCAD dropped to below 4.669 of the trigger down.
5.8664 is at 1.2942.
The overall picture is very bearish though and those buyers need to still gather steam.
Attachments
eurcad10.03.gif
eurcad10.03.gif (34.04 KiB) Viewed 197 times

Paul&Paul
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 6:29 am

EURJPY ended with a tone up last Friday.
There is not much land between buyers and sellers entrenched in their own positions.
EURJPY firmer than 109.39 will force shorting people exit.
107.64 is a UPO from the downside and also an obvious classical support line.
Attachments
eurjpy10.03.gif
eurjpy10.03.gif (35.23 KiB) Viewed 195 times

Paul&Paul
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WIG20

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 10:15 pm

WIG20.

The current vector field orientation is up on the index. With this in mind one can hope WIG20 goes higher to regain UPO @ 2326 which is near 9.1299 of a trigger down.

The low from March 6/7 was 14.208 of a trigger down.

The tone is up but WIG20 has begun closing below the 2299 border and this is what may worry careful traders.
Recall that KGHM has similar problems with its border when it failed in three tests to break 149.38.
Attachments
wig2010.03.gif
wig2010.03.gif (35.49 KiB) Viewed 184 times

Paul&Paul
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Contaminated charts provided by on-line brokers

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Mar 10, 2012 10:36 pm

I recall that it was one of the problems raised by traders in discussions here and there.

It is a problem indeed. There is undisputable evidence that some users/ traders actually get different charts on some instruments from the same on-line broker.

No matter how strongly the broker denies such practices it is a fact.
This contamination generates false signals. They may stop it only after a lawsuit based on convincing analytics.

There is some rationality, some motif behind this practice. Regulators sit idle and guys generally think it is not a big problem. I say it is.
This situation helps you lose more money faster.

It is not the matter of changing your broker.
It is a serious legal matter across the world
and people should be encouraged to go to the court of law.

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