My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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DJIA

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Oct 22, 2011 4:28 pm

DJIA accomplished 11731 in the final effort of the last session and ended Friday with a bullish tone.

Yet it dripped UPOs @ 11340, 11455, 11591 and 11662 in red, signalmen of a future return there.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Oct 22, 2011 5:36 pm

EURUSD. Do you really see it reflects fundamentals? Whose fundamentals?
FT write today that the Greek situation has taken a turn for the worse.
Can we detect this deterioration in the analysis of chaos for this pair?

Chaos reflects not only fundamentals but everything else, including things unnamed, unnumbered. How each and everyone, one by one impacts the market developments, chaos deals not with.

However chaos deals with the generality of the current situation refraining to give weight to any particular event. Everything what pertains to understanding of the situation is transfered into some trading energy which, as we frequently saw, does not fizzle out like bubbles from a cheap drink.

This energy remains in the system in terms of independent packages. Though we regard markets as liquid systems, they are rather discrete from the point of view of mathematics. Still, even discrete processes exhibit fantastic chaotic properties. It means, among other things, that the new open will be with a gap and even in the case of a very big gap time between the close and the open is null, despite the fact that it closes on Friday and opens on Sunday.

For chaos it is not important how long it takes something to happen but that it really does happen at all. The clock fails to be trusted in an ordinary way. Order and sequencing of events play a greater role than a mere clock. Things get really complicated when it seems that time runs differently for different chaotic events at the same time. Whether we are in an uptrend or a downtrend becomes very relative, it is not an absolute.

EURUSD showed a loop returning to a UPO @ 1.3828. It pierced the UPO a few pips below which is a harbinger of many such such returns in the future, so that is rather bad for longs established above 1.3679, another UPO from the recent lows.

EURUSD did not make it very well to be exact (unlike USDCHF) and the nearest target of 1.3913 is still to be reached to count full 3.5699 of the trigger up.

Its chaotic system ignored new(?) alarms over Greek economy and Friday closed with a bullish tone.
I cannnot refrain myself from saying that the more politicians meddle into the crisis the less science is there.
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Last edited by Paul&Paul on Sun Oct 23, 2011 2:57 am, edited 1 time in total.

Paul&Paul
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EURPLN

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 2:33 am

What this crisis portends for EURPLN now?
A next fractal expansion of a trigger up is at 4.4297. It needs to be mentioned in the first place because Friday ended with a clear tone up.

On the downside EURPLN accomplished 5.8664=4.2902 and after a period of messy chicken time it went higher. Nobody seems to bother as yet. And the reason is that major selling from September 29 and September 23 was taking place well above the recent levels.

The UPOs from those two days of September are at 4.4494 and 4.4850.
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EURGBP

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 3:16 am

EURGBP slumped 14.208=8672 and the bearishness still persists. 8672 is a cotarget from two independent triggers down. So despite a semafor3 painted near the lows, there is little to reassure longs at the moment. First of all there is no new trigger up.

There is an important UPO @ 8759 to where the market is bound to return.
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NZDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 3:31 am

NZDUSD ended with a bullish tone. The semafor3 will be repainted when the pair accomplishes 8029/33, almost a cotarget from two triggers up.

There is a UPO @ 7980.
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AUDCHF

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 3:57 am

AUDCHF looks just fine as a chaotic system.
The trigger up from October 4 expanded first 9.1299 times its energy, then 14.208 times and nicely retraces recent gains like a burned out firework.

AUDCHF has expanded to 3.5699= 9086 and it will to 4.669=9042.
Friday ended with a bearish note.
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EURAUD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 4:27 am

EURAUD rejected at 3.5699=1.3496 has yet to go to 4.669=1.3357. It ended with a bullish tone last Friday. Nevertheless it will be sold towards a new strength.
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Crash test for USDJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 4:49 am

USDJPY

Yen's fresh high raises pressure to intervene, writes FT.

USDJPY crashed 9.1299 times the trigger down. It needs to crash more. And the more means 14.208=75.62.

The situation looks unfavourable for an intervention at this stage.
The tone is down. the crash is incomplete. It would be easier and more natural to wait for some lower prices to act, tells the chart.
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 5:07 am

EURJPY moves neatly.
It returned to a UPO@104.93 and twice painted a semafor3 there.

EURJPY ended Friday with a tone up.
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Paul&Paul
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AUDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Oct 23, 2011 1:31 pm

AUDUSD looks tired having climbed so much from lows around 9500 but we should not be fooled by appearances as 4.669 of a trigger up (177 pips) is incomplete. A nearest target is 1.0402 equal to 821 pips from the trigger. Quite a distance. The study prompts buying into any weakness while below the target. The last close is 1.0350 and the tone is up as indicated by the arrows of the vector field orientation.
For reference marked is the 3.5699 level at 1.0212 and this boundary of chaos shows its existence in a clearcut way.
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