My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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BUND10Y

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Sep 01, 2011 2:58 am

BUND10Y dribbles in a Messi way near 14.208=134.88, crossing the line gladly.
The current vector field orientation is down.
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OIL

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Sep 01, 2011 3:16 am

OIL completed 5.8664 of a trigger up, and it has enough energy to expand to 2.4220=115.80 of an earlier 313-pip trigger up.
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GUS allegations unsubstantiated

Postby Paul&Paul » Thu Sep 01, 2011 4:38 pm

GUS (Poland's Central Statistical Office) raised allegations That some unnamed investors who somehow had come to know the economic data (GDP) one hour before their official release should bear the consequences of a crime called insider trading as it exposed now.

I am punched to death, as these allegations on inspection of the market with the chaos tools are absolutely insane. Big names never intended to profit on strengthening of the PLN currency market following the better than expected reading.

GUS was to complain to the Polish government asking for an official investigation.

Pardon me, silly lads, so not progressive. In a case like this they could not have been wronged more.

Before the dispatch of a hot-blooded letter, a moment, just a glimpse, not a marriage, at any PLN chart, say CHFPLN, should suffice to decide to take a step towards the shredder.

Please sit down folks and study the chart with a cooler mind.
CHFPLN has already moved to 3.6600 from 3.5300 on the flash news, that is 1300 pips.

Traditionally CHFPLN soaring in this fashion irks. And it pulls many guys in.
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Paul&Paul
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NZDUSD ended with a bearish note

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:07 am

NZDUSD soared above two 14.208 targets which was a sign of instability upwards.
NZDUSD reached 5.5699 of a trigger up (8569) and from there on it has been building a bearish picture. In it we have a trigger down and a RAR down marked with a triangular blue colour.
Evident here is agitated selling on a few approaches to 8524 (UPO-repeller) during the last two sessions of this week. Four times NZDUSD tried breaking 8524, the said UPO, never able to close above. It is a sign of weakness.
After the US payrolls release on Friday NZDUSD slumped more leaving behind another UPO-repeller at 8505. The vector field orientation is down. It has already slumped to 3.5699=8433 in an exact manner, just as it was exact topping 8569. Friday ended with every appearance of going further down. How far? 4.669= 8404 is a minimal target.

Remember that UPOs are revisited in the time to come. This time cannot be determined but the level has already been determined, so NZDUSD is bound to return to 8505 with a 100% certainty. It may not be anytime soon but it will happen.

RAR's energy is calculated as a difference of the UPO level (which is a CLOSE there) and the lowest level of the triangle (a LOW - not a CLOSE). It is 35 pips. Its minimal fractal expansion yields 8405, identical to 4.669=8404 of a trigger down which occurred earlier. This alignment is important for the system.

A basic buying spree began on August 11 when NZDUSD was traded above 8131. I detected two UPOs-repellers from that period. One at 8131 and the second a little lower at 8094. It is quite far from where we are now, yet those UPOs are also levels to be eyed carefully. There is never one straight road to targets and to UPOs. But longer term those are the lines that should be kept on your charts until seen without scrolling. The road may be twisted and winding.

Refer to some earlier post of mine on NZDUSD where I marked UPOs-repellers from August 4. This is a good opportunity to recall that analysis because
this week NZDUSD by making a target of 8569 returned to UPO at 8564! What a giant loop is there! There stands another UPO at 8616 waiting to be revisited in the future. Will it be? Surely. No doubt about that. Noone can tell you when but this is already determined by the system.
Such are curiosities of chaos.

UPOs-repellers are like footprints of someone walking away from home. After some time that someone returns home driven by nostalgy. The memory of home stays in his mind vividly. There long and winding road.

I referred to the ?extraordinary and very basic role? that chaos plays on financial markets at the ?tiniest scales? of physical action, and there is
indeed an order governing the behaviour of participants. However, this ?complicated structure? generally becomes completely buried, and it would appear that only in exceptional circumstances.

Yet there are circumstances where a basic underlying complex structure
shows through even at the macroscopic level. This can sometimes be seen
in other physical phenomena. We shall see something of the remarkable way in which chaos can exert its magic from behind the scenes.

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NZDUSD ended with a bearish note

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Sep 03, 2011 4:09 am

NZDUSD soared above two 14.208 targets which was a sign of instability upwards.
NZDUSD reached 5.5699 of a trigger up (8569) and from there on it has been building a bearish picture. In it we have a trigger down and a RAR down marked with a triangular blue colour.
Evident here is agitated selling on a few approaches to 8524 (UPO-repeller) during the last two sessions of this week. Four times NZDUSD tried breaking 8524, the said UPO, never able to close above. It is a sign of weakness.
After the US payrolls release on Friday NZDUSD slumped more leaving behind another UPO-repeller at 8505. The vector field orientation is down. It has already slumped to 3.5699=8433 in an exact manner, just as it was exact topping 8569. Friday ended with every appearance of going further down. How far? 4.669= 8404 is a minimal target.

Remember that UPOs are revisited in the time to come. This time cannot be determined but the level has already been determined, so NZDUSD is bound to return to 8505 with a 100% certainty. It may not be anytime soon but it will happen.

RAR's energy is calculated as a difference of the UPO level (which is a CLOSE there) and the lowest level of the triangle (a LOW - not a CLOSE). It is 35 pips. Its minimal fractal expansion yields 8405, identical to 4.669=8404 of a trigger down which occurred earlier. This alignment is important for the system.

A basic buying spree began on August 11 when NZDUSD was traded above 8131. I detected two UPOs-repellers from that period. One at 8131 and the second a little lower at 8094. It is quite far from where we are now, yet those UPOs are also levels to be eyed carefully. There is never one straight road to targets and to UPOs. But longer term those are the lines that should be kept on your charts until seen without scrolling. The road may be twisted and winding.

Refer to some earlier post of mine on NZDUSD where I marked UPOs-repellers from August 4. This is a good opportunity to recall that analysis because
this week NZDUSD by making a target of 8569 returned to UPO at 8564! What a giant loop is there! There stands another UPO at 8616 waiting to be revisited in the future. Will it be? Surely. No doubt about that. Noone can tell you when but this is already determined by the system.
Such are curiosities of chaos.

UPOs-repellers are like footprints of someone walking away from home. After some time that someone returns home driven by nostalgy. The memory of home stays in his mind vividly. There long and winding road.
Attachments
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EURGBP

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Sep 03, 2011 5:24 am

EURGBP.
More weakness is on the table than the one we have been seeing since the top
8890.
There is a UPO-repeller @ 8732 and also @ 8675 to where the system is bound to return in the future.
At the moment the system is running away from two repellers @ 8866 and 8812.
There is a RAR down, 4.669 of which is at 8657. Together with 9.1299=8655 of a trigger down we have an alignment of targets. There I see things go to in a natural way.
EURGBP has been parading down leaving behind two UPOs repellers @ 8866 and 8812 to which the system is bound to return without apologies.
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Sep 04, 2011 12:27 pm

EURJPY.
We shall begin with referring to the beginning of this week and the trigger down, the UPO-repellers and the RAR, all indicative of a selloff going on. Indeed, EURJPY slumped to below 109.00 and painted a semafor3 there.
To understand the complexity of the system one needs to take into account several objects, several targets and semafors too. Otherwise one risks trivializing the picture in a similar manner like a little child draws a human. The dynamics of chaos is rich in details. Some details, like in fine art, are more important than the others.

It is remarkable that the chaotic system of financial markets was created by man, not aliens. Yet, more often than not it seems than man as the creator lost the control of the situation and the ability to accurately predict the future. Some developmets have poor desriptions in terms of words and it is vital to visualize the atmosphere from the attached charts. Statements like quarks cannot exist as separate particles will not be found in every post then.

EURJPY gapped upside just at the beginning of the week, in spite of some energy down indicaTED with arrows. Soon that pressure upside fizzled and a few formations appeared which were in line with my previous assertions.

This situation is presented in the first chart.

Friday closed with a trigger up and a semafor 3. The recent low is a cotarget of 14.208 and 4.669, which is 108.90/92.

Below that we have a quadriple cotarget 108.57/59 and 108.48. It means that EURJPY can plunge there in quite a natural way.

The trigger up at 4.669 gives a miserable 109.51.
Attachments
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eurjpy2.08.gif
eurjpy2.08.gif (50.78 KiB) Viewed 135 times

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GBPJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Sep 04, 2011 1:26 pm

GBPJPY.
First observe a giant loop from a UPO-repeller at 124.82 on August 12 upwards and down a return on August 26. The first break of the 124.82 level suggested the pair would cross the line at least one more time. Indeed GBPJPY crossed the line about 14 times and closed below.

The second chart shows how GBPJPY struggles to break lower, below 124.43 and finds there are some obstacles on the way. The front for pushing prices lower is well prepared. Three triggers down and a RAR, and also UPO-repellers @ 125,87, 125.30. First selling on August 30 was pretty easy. Then it turned pretty difficult.
125.30 looks a strong line and someone defends the area around it. However, towards the end of the week GBPJPY was growing hotter and hotter at lower levels and the vector field orientation suggests that there will be an action upwards.
The week ended with a trigger up.
Attachments
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USDCAD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Sep 04, 2011 7:57 pm

USDCAD
The heat is on for rises and the vector field orientation is still up despite semafor 3 painted. Initially the pair moved downwards in the beginning of last week. Then a day before the US payrolls things changed and the dollar strengthened.
We have two new UPOs-repellers @ 9827 and 9798. The market is bound to return to them some time in the future.
Attachments
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Almost uneventful EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Sep 04, 2011 8:17 pm

EURUSD expanded 9,1299 of one trigger down and painted semafor 3 there.
Interesting that the release of the US payrolls on Friday did not change anything in the vector field orientation.
Recall targets from older triggers such as 1.4035 and 1.4025 both of which are 9.1299.
On the way downstairs EURUSD ran away from four UPOs @ 1.4507
1.4490
1.4408
1.4400.
Attachments
eurusd2.09.gif
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