My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

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Paul&Paul
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An example of a construct

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Aug 14, 2011 8:37 pm

Definition:
A construct is a set of triggers on different currency pairs.

Example: from August 12, 2011
Currency pairs used:
construct 1 construct 2 construct 3
EURUSD +58 -53 +52
GBPUSD +73 -83 +83
GBPJPY -25 +36 -56
EURJPY -49 +42 -46
USDCAD -43 -43 +43
EURCAD +110 -112 +111
GBPCAD +127 -131 +128
______________________________
Total +251 -344 +315

Explanation:
construct 1 is based on the first triggers on each pair last Friday, which means that the positions were first after midnight.
construct 2 is based on the second triggers on each pair last Friday
construct 3 is based on the third triggers on each pair
last Friday.

The total is given on close of Friday.

Please note that if you had a choice to trade just one pair of currencies
your probability of winning in the case of construct 1 is 4/7
in the case of construct 2 is 2/7
in the case of construct 3 is 5/7.

If you had a choice to trade just one construct (7 pairs) the probability of winning on balance is 1 (one) on the condition you are familiar to the order in a series of constructs.

If the order is +-+-+-+-+- for subsequent constructs, you would know what to do. You would trade + as they say, and - in a contrarian way.

Things get more complex (and thrilling) when you realize that nothing has been said about fractal expansions so far. They may be very important should a typical order +-+-+- be perturbed somehow.

You may only know anything about the order if you monitor balances from subsequent constructs.

Order is everything.
Chaos is about order hidden inside.

Why we should expect an order +-+-+-+- to be prevailing in our system?
The answer is simple. It is the consequence of triggers occurring that way.
A trigger up is followed by a trigger down and so on. Thus each subsequent construct is a sort of the inverse of the previous construct. You expect that by doing something inversely you are betting against the previous construct.
The result will never be a zero game because it is not an oscillator. One side of the market will win quite a lot of money at the end of the day.

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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY reached a cotarget 125.33/32/30 and 125.54 as well

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Aug 15, 2011 9:15 am

In accordance with the energy of the system GBPJPY has climbed higher today
and painted semafor3 over several targets 125.33/32/30 and 125.54.

Paul&Paul
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A dead cat bounce a chaotic pattern

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Aug 19, 2011 1:05 am

DJIA presented here shows events from the last three days. Interesting is to observe a dead cat bounce from August 17 which I marked with a triangular shape.

No turbulence inside, no new arrow. The vector field orientation down before and after the bounce.

The best measure of crash is the 14.208 multiplier of a trigger down. Two triggers are visible there of 20 and 28 pips respectively.
DJIA dived below both 14.208 fractal expansions.

Please notice the sudden increase of volatility below 11098. There cannot be a slightest doubt that something very very bad is underway in the system.
DJIA is extremely unstable downwards.

It looks like a waterfall.

Where the water splashes most there are several triggers of which one has already expanded 4.669 times to 10874. Two other triggers have a cotarget
10840/39 and DJIA will try to stabilize with them in the nearest future.

Farthest fractal expansions below 10840 are located at 10572 and 10447.
Attachments
djia18.08.gif
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD poised to go to 1.4534

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 9:40 am

EURUSD is poised to go to 1.4534 which is a cotarget of 9.1299 from two triggers up.

Last week's top 1.4514 was near the cotarget but it is not the cotarget level and the system must expand to 1.4534 in the future, does not matter from what low.

Friday ended with a bearish tone. There are two UPOs marked from the last session and EURUSD is bound to revisit those levels in the future.

Trading is for taking profits not for calculating stop losses. If you do not know how to handle take profit, do not bother about stop losses. It does not make sense at all.

Triggers marked on charts attached here prompt certain ideas based on science. They may not tell what to do at the given moment of time. But they allow you to set your targets correctly. There must be some rule based on some science for setting TP orders. This should be the focus of all mindwork, the purpose of all trading efforts.

The task of setting your TP levels is key in account management. It is not important whether you are on the right side of the market. There is even no such a thing like a right side of the market. You can profit from opposite positions opened on the same currency pairs.

Your TP strategy must be consistent and persistent, void of randomness and the so called feeling. Triggers are for guidance but rules are strict. You can modify your next undertakings yet you cannot modify the rules. The silliest
slogans I find in the net is 10 pips every day, or 20 pips every day and go away, or 50 pips every day and go away... What does it have to do with what the markets really are? Nothing, absolutely nothing. The game is not for petty 10 pips a day, nor for any stupid rounded figure on sale now, like a price tag. Everything for one pound.

It requires some more effort to weigh up what you can do with your positions. The determinants of the chaotic system may save your bacon, provided you do not panic and do not overreact. Overreaction occurrs when you are glued to the screen. Enough care and enough time devoted to the problem of setting TP, is in my view the most effective way of draining the banks.

There is no such a thing like a missed trade. Opportunities are rife everyday.
I could easily show more than 30 opportunities during every session. If the system is right, it does not matter what you take. It will work. It must work.
Your sample (your trades) is no better or worse only because it is the US opening hour. The sample is good whatever the time of your trades is. Why?
The answer is very simple. Fractal expansions are not related to time, at least I have not found it, though I tried. Fractal expansions sometimes need no time at all.
Attachments
eurusd20.08.gif
eurusd20.08.gif (46.05 KiB) Viewed 119 times
Last edited by Paul&Paul on Sat Aug 20, 2011 1:59 pm, edited 1 time in total.

Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 11:28 am

GBPUSD showed three trigger up and a RAR which was indicative of going higher in the course of a new week.

Now it is important to see how far GBPUSD has expanded in the marked direction.
The UPO @ 1.6459 has been pierced several times and is bound to be violated more times.

We see that 1.6578 is the 14.208 of trigger 1. In the cards there is also 1.6650 and 1.6695 which are 14.208 of trigger 2 and trigger 3.
Meantime Friday ended with a clear note down.
Attachments
gbpusd20.08.gif
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EURGBP failed to reach UPO @ 8836

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 2:28 pm

EURGBP failed to reach UPO @ 8836 which a token of bearishness.
Instead it expanded southbound to below 8670.
Friday closed firmly bullish. Should be able to get to 8753 which is 9.1299 of a trigger up.
Attachments
eurgbp;20.08.gif
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NZDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 2:43 pm

NZDUSD continuously bearish looking for 8113.
Attachments
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Paul&Paul
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Another dead cat bounce on DJIA

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 2:45 pm

Another dead cat bounce on DJIA. The place is marked with a triangular shape.
Attachments
djia20.08.gif
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Paul&Paul
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EURCAD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 6:43 pm

EURCAD developed a small trigger down and Friday ended with a bearish tone.
However, above 1.4000 the overall picture is unstable upwards. EURCAD is notorious for precision in chaotic behavior. Recall that 1.3998 was 14.208 of a trigger up. The pair broke higher which meant serious instability in that direction. Then it retreated some distance but not any distance chosen randomly but exactly 2.4220=1.4000 of a trigger down.
We see that the same border 1.4000/1.3998 is from two opposite triggers. There is elegance in such precise movements and on that account EURCAD is one of the most elegant currency pairs of all.

Recall that 1.4000 is the place of an over 150-pip runaway gap from the 5th of August.
Attachments
eurcad20.08.gif
eurcad20.08.gif (39.18 KiB) Viewed 99 times

Paul&Paul
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Aug 20, 2011 7:13 pm

EURJPY shows pretty short fractal expansions.
However, worth noting is the way vector field orientation was like during the last three days of the week after the big trigger of 43 pips.
Very few arrows up, most of them pointing down no matter what the market was doing with the prices. Then, at the end of the day, this thing changed and Friday ended with a note bullish.
Attachments
eurjpy20.08.gif
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