My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading

forex live trades, setups, charts

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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD - why oh why must I sit and cry?

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 23, 2011 3:48 pm

GBPUSD on the agenda now. It will take some time as there is a lot to tell.
First I attach the 4 charts. The explanations will follow after a break.
Attachments
gbpusd22.07.gif
gbpusd22.07.gif (42.39 KiB) Viewed 243 times
gbpusd22.07x.gif
gbpusd22.07x.gif (52.37 KiB) Viewed 243 times
gbpusd22.07xx.gif
gbpusd22.07xx.gif (47.28 KiB) Viewed 243 times
gbpusd22.07xxx.gif
gbpusd22.07xxx.gif (50.48 KiB) Viewed 243 times

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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 23, 2011 4:55 pm

EURUSD. The description after a break.
Attachments
eurusd22.07.gif
eurusd22.07.gif (42.16 KiB) Viewed 241 times
eurusd22.07x.gif
eurusd22.07x.gif (41.95 KiB) Viewed 241 times
eurusd22.07xx.gif
eurusd22.07xx.gif (42.76 KiB) Viewed 241 times
eurusd22.07xxx.gif
eurusd22.07xxx.gif (47.84 KiB) Viewed 241 times

Paul&Paul
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AUDUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 23, 2011 5:31 pm

AUDUSD.
The arrows show more energy to the upside. The two UPO-repellers @ 1.0752
and 1.0775 enhance bullishness. However AUDUSD will return to them in the future. The trigger down can expand 4.669=1.0763 that is already the region of the UPOs.
The equilibrium line comes at 1.0714.
Buying started pretty low @ 1.0578 and 1.0611. So it is not a joke. The question is how long AUDUSD is going to stay so high. It is making a third high higher and those 5.8664s close each other @ 1.0856 and 1.0852 were probably broken to gain some more time. Anyway the air is thick, and some bags heavy under shorts. That kind of consolidation enables big hands to create a lot of mess.
AUDUSD is unstable upwards. The guns point to two UPOs from end of April, one at 1.0954 and the other at 1.0937. We are not far from those levels. Therefore, the cards show pressure higher and there is enough energy in the system to get to 1.0969/62/38 from three triggers up. The game is to liquidate those shorts almost three months old. More juice to be squeezed in the near future and it does not matter if from where it closed or from a lower level. If this is a hunt for options, then pushing higher is at stake.
Friday ended with a bullish note.
Attachments
audusd22.07.gif
audusd22.07.gif (52.19 KiB) Viewed 238 times

Paul&Paul
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What is going on WIG20, what happened on Feb. 22

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 24, 2011 5:50 am

The UPO @ 2643 on WIG20 looms like a lost ship in the Bermuda triangle.
Not a boat but a flagship. On international waters of a local market. Its colours are not white or red.

WIG20 has been very near it but sailed away from 4.669=2657 to another 4.669=2728 and a bit farther.

Never mind. Sooner or later the market will return there again to see who's on board.

2643 is a top important level for big players in the mid-term.
Possibly this is linked to the overall situation in the euro zone, worse than an earthquake.

The reason I mention this is that the UPO @ 2643 on WIG20 occurred on February 22 of this year which is the date of the biggest earthquake in New Zealand since 1968. It is also the date of a massive trigger down on NIKKEI 225.

I showed you yet another "missing link" pertaining to the activity of unnamed investors on different markets. Their doings leave fingerprints here, or footprints there and chaos reveals them in an archeological way.

The secrets of all those events will haunt us for a very long time and from the point of view of science and the implications of those events on the lives of people, the whole thing is much more fascinating than legends of the UFO.

The memory of it will stay in the system for ever, whether somebody likes it or not, whatever steps are taken by whatever authorities wherever.

The UPO @ 2643 proved crucial exactly 5 months later. It was tested exactly 5 months later.
Attachments
wig2022.07.gif
wig2022.07.gif (44.27 KiB) Viewed 225 times

Paul&Paul
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Norway and USDNOK

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 24, 2011 3:17 pm

Norway and USDNOK.
The study is based on H1 charts.

USDNOK completed 5.8664= 5.3920 of a trigger down at midnight July21/22.
Until midday of July 22 USDNOK remained flat.

The system probed with a standard sample to detect turbulences and triggers
shows a trigger up at 9:00 CEST followed by turbulences at 11:00, 12:00, 13:00 and 14:00 in a row.

The system probed with a bigger sample showed a trigger up at 12:00 CEST
and a turbulence at 15:00 CEST.

A massive blast shook the centre of Oslo at 15:26 CEST.
Attachments
usdnok 22.07.gif
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EURNZD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 24, 2011 7:48 pm

EURNZD closed on Friday at the equilibrium line but this equilibrium pertains to events from below the 14.2308 border equal to 1.6722. It means that EURNZD is very unstable downwards. It tried to recover briefly above the 14.208 but slumped later.
We can say that for a change of the broad picture we need it break 1.6722. Remembering the problems in the eurozone it is no wonder that the euro looks like an orphan in a surrogate family. We have four semafors 3 in this chart below.
The close of Friday is bearish.

Implementing trigger trading after semafor3 gets painted and a typical 4.669 expansion in the course of three days 295 pips from two closed trades + 78 pips floating profit were possible. The idea is to trade the first trigger in the opposite direction of semafor 3.
Attachments
eurnzd22.07.gif
eurnzd22.07.gif (90.83 KiB) Viewed 203 times

Paul&Paul
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GBPNZD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Jul 24, 2011 8:22 pm

GBPNZD shows less ideal situation. Though we have semafors 3 painted here, none expansion has yielded 4.669 of a trigger. The result is that we have three positions opened, two buys and one sell with a floating almost zero (spread not counted).
Attachments
gbpnzd22.07.gif
gbpnzd22.07.gif (77.43 KiB) Viewed 200 times

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GBPUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 30, 2011 2:55 pm

At a glance GBPUSD's vector field orientation was upward a week ago and the pair stayed well above the equilibrium line calculated then.
What has become of the dollar, by the by?

I am always amazed by irrational behavior of the market. Culture-sociologists have big theories of distinction: how do I want to distinguish myself? It is not logical or rational but sociological. All human beings want to distinguish themselves by gathering three forms of capital. If you have more capital, people see you differently. One form of of the capital is financial capital.
America makes a distinction. Therefore, in days of trouble the dollar behaves
sociologically rather than logically or rationally. Because the dollar's behavior reflects people's attitudes who notice this distinction. The dollar index rallied in dire straits. Would you believe it? Finances are the domain of aged people who do not venture being cool or be trendwatchers. Can we imagine any limit of innovation in the currency market? The euro? The yuan? Stereotypes and good image of America work well for the dollar.

The week ending left more questions opened than answered.
In the markets Obama's trouble has not changed their nature. I like chaotic studies and I still find the same objects such as triggers and their fractal expansions.

GBPUSD marked several borders. First at 1.6430/36, then at 1.6448 and 1.6467. Friday closed below with a bearish note.

Interesting that the calculated equilibrium line @ 1.6361 lies exactly at 5.8664 of a trigger down. So far buyers have it all and feel secure while above the line and higher than the UPO @ 1.6352.
Attachments
gbpusd30.07x.gif
gbpusd30.07x.gif (48.75 KiB) Viewed 171 times
gbpusd30.07.gif
gbpusd30.07.gif (46.36 KiB) Viewed 174 times

Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 30, 2011 5:22 pm

EURUSD tested the area marked in red during the last session of last week.
That attempt and the subsequent recovery give evidence where the stops might be.
EURUSD looks unstable downwards having pierced 5.8664 several times.
There are three UPOs to which the system is bound to return in the future, namely
1.4489
1.4445
from the topside
and 1.4325.
Friday ended with a bullish note.
Attachments
eurusd30.07x.gif
eurusd30.07x.gif (48.24 KiB) Viewed 169 times
eurusd30.07.gif
eurusd30.07.gif (50.19 KiB) Viewed 170 times

Paul&Paul
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CHFPLN

Postby Paul&Paul » Sat Jul 30, 2011 6:04 pm

CHFPLN shows further instability upwards. It closed above 3.5010 and marked a UPO @ 3.5122 which is a repeller like 3.4578. These two levels are bound to be revisited some time in the future, yet at the moment they aggravate Polish zloty weakness against the Swiss franc.

Vital questions need to be directed neither to Confoederatio Helvetica nor to Poland but to an entity called the eurozone and over the ocean where lies world's Bonnie on the edge of default. Oh bring back my greenback to me.

The Swiss franc has been a topic here and there. The talk is about CHFPLN spreads which are quite moronic at this latitude. It is untrue that Poland is being drained by the banks. About half the country is drained by the Vistula, which originates in the Tatra Mountains. The Vistula is a major river. It is natural that in a country where free-flow is guaranteed by law, proceeeds are shipped down to Gdańsk and expedited worldwide in sealed containers.
Attachments
chfpln30.07.gif
chfpln30.07.gif (42.38 KiB) Viewed 179 times

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