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Paul&Paul
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Japanese players stabilized GBPJPY between 129.35 and 127.07

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 07, 2012 8:49 pm

Japanese players stabilized GBPJPY between 129.35 and 127.07.
When the Lyapunov exponent increased to 2.21 the dynamics of the system increased zigzagging noticeably.
Major players managed stabilizing it so that prices return to some balance or to some Moving Average after some time. It could be the mid point of the pink trigger down, for example.
What happened today is crunching longs from an earlier date. GBPJPY dipped well below 127.63. The LE (Lyapunov exponent) increased to 2.65.
While the pink panther remains a stabilizer, a new trigger up occurred and is active now.
For some time prices shoul.d remain above 127.07 and below 129.35.
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Paul&Paul
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WIG20 produced a large basin of temporal stability

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 07, 2012 9:10 pm

WIG20 produced a large basin of temporal stability below major selling areas.
Attempts to go long ended with sluggish rises. Now 2350 is a signalman from the upside but more important is how long WIG20 can stay above 2321.
Those shorts established well above 2350 are sitting comfortably at the moment.
Old longs from 2223 to 2243 will feel the pain when the market breaks through 2321.
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Paul&Paul
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3.2496 stands there on USDPLN for a meaning

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 07, 2012 9:27 pm

3.2496 stands there on USDPLN for a meaning.
USDPLN broke up from the basin of stability through 3.2220.
This signals accounting problems for the Polish debt while nearing the end of the year.
There is new buying active and the trigger up expanded 'only' 3.5699 times its size so far.
Notice that USDPLN first quenched shorts for which two sessions were needed and then broke the thick red line with more viguor.
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Paul&Paul
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OIL

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Nov 09, 2012 4:45 am

OIL.
It dropped to 106.25 but failed to hit stoplosses.
Once closing above 107.95 the risk is it can go to 109.78.
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Paul&Paul
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DJIA

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Nov 09, 2012 5:06 am

DJIA.
Sellers have been an emerging power for some time for whom most important is to break lower towards a UPO @ 12579.
What explains this buyers' inefficiency?
Is there really a good reason that the market is going up not down or vice versa?
The risk of explaining it higher than the risk of not explaining this.
The feeling of discontent is unequally divided between those who buy and those who sell.
It has nothing to do with the recent settlement on the banana dispute, nor with disciplining of some buy limit order smuggling traders in Burma.
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Paul&Paul
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USDPLN - people are completely overwhelmed

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Nov 09, 2012 5:22 am

The middle class leaving the country is blamed for the acute and soon chronic pessimism and business sentiment.
We have made astonishing nonprogress, really startling inability, to alter the doubtless picture of poor labour market, junk job contracts and rife bankruptcies among contractors.
It is true that they are not willing to admit how bad things are.
And the time is 16 minutes into the hour.
People are willing to accept that they can be happy on prime number days for the beginning. Because of poor maths education, some will be totally devoid of happiness for the rest of the crisis.

Definition of the middle class: those who can afford to cover travel expenses abroad.
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Paul&Paul
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DJIA

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Nov 09, 2012 12:27 pm

DJIA has slipped to 12727. Half of America vs. the other half.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Postby Paul&Paul » Fri Nov 09, 2012 12:36 pm

EURUSD at 1.2710.
Next 1.2677.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY hit 125.99 which is 2.4220 of a 76-pip trigger down

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Nov 11, 2012 6:36 pm

GBPJPY hit 125.99 which is 2.4220 of a 76-pip trigger down.
Despite a small trigger up (11 pips) emerged towards the end of the last session, its fractal expansion has not been activated yet, and the system looks bearish while below 126.62 (UPO).

126.28 is a saddle orbit which means that once GBPJPY closes below it will not stay there and in the current circumstances the risk is of dipping lower.
A next fractal expansion of the said 76-pip trigger down is at 3.5699=125.12.
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Paul&Paul
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OIL

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 12, 2012 5:20 am

OIL.
Buyers more active now aiming to stop shorts from November 7.
When the market approaches a UPO, 'strange' behavior takes place. The system is not only sensitive to initial conditions, to triggers but also to Unstable Periodic Orbits. The UPOs marks phase transitions from laminar to turbulent flow, similarly like tap water. Water won't suddenly flow in a turbulent way without the help of the domesticated rat.
You thus know that water installation is in some houses only.
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