chaos detector

utilizing the complexity and chaos theory concepts in trading system development

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eudamonia
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Postby eudamonia » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:42 pm

Quantus,

Well I'm not an expert, but I do have a similar interest. The "Chaos Toolkit" looks interesting and for the price they are charging I would guess you ought to be able to get more information than is on the website. Some examples of practical application are a definate must. I've never heard of these folks but they look new.

Also, I'm guessing by the type of math terms that the "Chaos Toolkit" folks are referring to that their system is not an ANN or a GA. It's closer to "fuzzy logic" would be my guess. Safir-X has a similar program that detects patterns out of raw finacial data using fuzzy logic, but it is heinously expensive IMHO. http://www.sirtrade.com/compare.htm

Edward
Eudaimonia (pron.: you-die-moan-e-a) (Greek: εὐδαιμονία) is a classical Greek word commonly translated as 'happiness'. The less subjective "human flourishing" is often preferred as a translation.

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xtremeforex
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Postby xtremeforex » Wed Nov 17, 2010 4:44 pm

Don't over-complicate trading. This is all great for research purposes but I can tell you that predicting the future is impossible and any attempt to do so may actually work but your information will always be lagging and delayed, therefore it won't help for making your next move or determining risk sizes. I've been through this route of chaos theory, fuzzy logic etc etc and whilst successful all the wonderful predictions worked but were always delayed. Delayed information is useless, by the time your algorithms do their computations, it's too late. This is the inherent problem.

If you're going to do any mathematical/physical based research in this area , perhaps focusing on effective trade/managemet would be time well spent. Believe me, you can get into 3D analysis with trade/risk management if you're creative..


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