The ideas that I trade by:

free & uncensored discussion arena for TheRumpledOne

Moderator: moderators

Post Reply
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by MightyOne »

TheRumpledOne wrote:
What are you shocked about?? :?


I don't know if you have ever taken the courses and workshops in the 90's, but it wasn't line/area charts and price closing over a line. I remember a cash price overlay for a short while but then it disappeared off of the paper charts.
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

BuyZone Modified

Post by MightyOne »

USDZARH1.png
USDZARH1.png (36.25 KiB) Viewed 4190 times
salezyakuku
rank: 150+ posts
rank: 150+ posts
Posts: 164
Joined: Thu Mar 19, 2015 9:45 pm
Reputation: 77
Location: PL
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by salezyakuku »

Why range 5891,7 USDZAR? I don't see such range in last 6 candles, some calculation or my broker have different data?

MightyOne wrote:[A LINK FOR PEOPLE WHO DO NOT READ PREV. POSTS]

or I overlooked again something. :oops:
"I only see my goals, I don't believe in failure 'Cause I know the smallest voices, they can make it major"
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by MightyOne »

New comment added:

"Spread in Lines = ", DoubleToStr(MarketInfo(Symbol(),MODE_SPREAD)/ NormalizeDouble(sublevels/10,1)/10,2) , "\n",

"oh, it is going to cost me a third of a line" is easier to swallow than "a 50 pip spread!".



USDZARH1.png
USDZARH1.png (7.54 KiB) Viewed 4179 times
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by MightyOne »

salezyakuku wrote:Why range 5891,7 USDZAR? I don't see such range in last 6 candles, some calculation or my broker have different data?

MightyOne wrote:[A LINK FOR PEOPLE WHO DO NOT READ PREV. POSTS]

or I overlooked again something. :oops:

(It is FXCM)
USDZAR_HISTORY.png
USDZAR_HISTORY.png (45.6 KiB) Viewed 4177 times
salezyakuku
rank: 150+ posts
rank: 150+ posts
Posts: 164
Joined: Thu Mar 19, 2015 9:45 pm
Reputation: 77
Location: PL
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by salezyakuku »

Thanks, my range/median is 7275.1 so quite different. I didn't notice difference in other curiencies so far, that why I was confused this time.
"I only see my goals, I don't believe in failure 'Cause I know the smallest voices, they can make it major"
User avatar
TheRumpledOne
rank: 10000+ posts
rank: 10000+ posts
Posts: 15766
Joined: Sun May 14, 2006 9:31 pm
Reputation: 3050
Location: Oregon
Real name: Avery T. Horton, Jr.
Contact:

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by TheRumpledOne »

MightyOne wrote:
TheRumpledOne wrote:
What are you shocked about?? :?


I don't know if you have ever taken the courses and workshops in the 90's, but it wasn't line/area charts and price closing over a line. I remember a cash price overlay for a short while but then it disappeared off of the paper charts.


Never took any courses.

Too funny, I called the GBE since they said they are in southern Oregon. Grants Pass. Talked to the guy. But he would not say what indicators they use. Tried to get me to buy. I just laughed.
IT'S NOT WHAT YOU TRADE, IT'S HOW YOU TRADE IT!

Please do NOT PM me with trading or coding questions, post them in a thread.
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

CRAPS!

Post by MightyOne »

Craps_2.png
Craps_1.png
User avatar
ForcedShadow
rank: <50 posts
rank: <50 posts
Posts: 24
Joined: Sat Jun 25, 2016 11:30 am
Reputation: 0

Re: The ideas that I trade by:

Post by ForcedShadow »

Craps offers the best statistcs to use martingale. 86% if you keep betting the pass line. After 1 hour play your odds decrease dramaticly. After 8 hours playing your odds are just 12%. When playing a maximum of 10 rounds on my tablet I´ve never lost. Blackjack comes in second with 84% and (American) roulette has the ´worst´ odds of 82%, given that you play a maximum of 1 hour casino play.
If you reject the truth, you must believe a lie
User avatar
MightyOne
rank: 5000+ posts
rank: 5000+ posts
Posts: 6055
Joined: Wed Dec 10, 2008 6:33 pm
Reputation: 561
Gender:

Re: The ideas that I roll by:

Post by MightyOne »

ForcedShadow wrote:Craps offers the best statistcs to use martingale. 86% if you keep betting the pass line. After 1 hour play your odds decrease dramaticly. After 8 hours playing your odds are just 12%. When playing a maximum of 10 rounds on my tablet I´ve never lost. Blackjack comes in second with 84% and (American) roulette has the ´worst´ odds of 82%, given that you play a maximum of 1 hour casino play.


One of the statistics that I am going to use is that the average number of rolls before a 7 is roughly 3.8

After the shooter makes his point you have about 2.8 good rolls before your money is swept off of the table so that is why you only make bets that you can turn off & take down (place/lay) &/or bets that hedge other bets.

We don't bet the pass line in craps because it is a contract bet (you can't take it down) & it usually takes more than 4 rolls for a shooter to make his point.

We want to get paid something for every roll of the dice so that we are leaving with money if and when we decide to leave; Iron Cross is one such strategy where you own every number except the 7 (or the hedged version where you own every number except exactly the 6:1), but there are better strategies.

I believe that the Craps table is little different than scalping the markets if you make bets that have similar mechanics (placed on/off, hedged, etc).
Some proper bet sizing, money management, & TRO "bet what you see", and we might be able to beat this thing long term...not after a billion rolls but over a much smaller sample size in which anything can happen. :wink:
Post Reply