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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD eyes at longs from early September

Post by Paul&Paul »

EURUSD eyes at longs from early September.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD eyes at longs from early September

Post by Paul&Paul »

EURUSD eyes at longs from early September.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD

Post by Paul&Paul »

EURUSD hides nearest stops below 1.2827.
We are second time on the line.
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Paul&Paul
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EURUSD ended with a tone up

Post by Paul&Paul »

EURUSD ended with a tone up. Can we trust it knowing that we are so close to breaking lower? The nearest determinants of this market are at 1.2848 (forget it, it is so near) and 1.2982 (keep a note of it) from the upside and
1.2710 from the downside.
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Paul&Paul
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M155 chart shows the the recent slide of EURUSD was

Post by Paul&Paul »

M155 chart shows the the recent slide of EURUSD was the matter of unnamed investors during one single day, starting from the Tokyo session.
They caused four turbulent (price) flows, the first from 1.2930 which broke through 1.2878.
The market will keep those UPOs in its memory for as long as it is needed.
Theorists call system with internal memory reversible, not increasing entropy and nondissipative. Far more complex things can occur such as characteristic fractal expansions or so-called embedded solitons. They allow one to study what other coherent structures (either periodic or localised) exist in a neighbourhood of the homoclinic trajectory.
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Paul&Paul
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NZDUSD

Post by Paul&Paul »

It was a strong movement up through the pink selling area smashing the remaining stops. It began at 8224 and then 8244. The job was done. Perhaps thas much for now, so whoever holds on to his longs opened at 8224 must be asking himself the question: what is the matter with a follow through?
The nearest UPOs, the determinants of the market are
8257 and
8224.
33 pips is nothing, or almost nothing.
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AUDUSD sold on a high C

Post by Paul&Paul »

AUDUSD was sold on a high C, i.e. 1.0394 on the announcement of the US economic data. Actually AUDUSD showed weakness many hours earlier unable to penetrate the major selling area on the rise marked by the violer colour.
Recent serious selling turning laminar flow into turbulence began at 1.0368 to 1.0359. And the latter one is the nearest UPO from the upside.
From below there is a UPO @ 1.0296.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD

Post by Paul&Paul »

GBPUSD.
Fresh selling took place which brought GBPUSD through new buying but earlier longs have not evaporated completely. Expect stops near the big figure 1.6000.
The nearest UPOs and determinants of this market are 1.6090 and
1.6005.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPUSD hit stoplosses and dropped to Lyapunov exponent 2.21

Post by Paul&Paul »

GBPUSD hit stoplosses and dropped to Lyapunov exponent 2.21, i.e. in the neighbourhood of 1.5968.
The initial buying from Oct. 24 is not fully wiped out.
More stops hidden below 1.5947.
Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY

Post by Paul&Paul »

Typically a trigger down occurs when there are five different players active
of whom two are strategic buyers and three are strategic sellers. Two players are contrarian traders, two are range breakers and one is an aggressive seller. This model shows that the biggest say has the fifth element who is neither a contrarian trader nor a range breaker but he is most active "inside a price range". One possibility is that the fifth element can be a High Frequency Trader who simply causes evaporation of liquidity. But we can also think of another type of a player who causes evaporation of liquidity by his big size rather than HFT.
GBPJPY could not go much higher than the beginning of the blue selling area which means that no serious stops were hit.
In the far left corner of the chart that pink area marks an earlier bout of selling and despite many efforts suprisingly we do not see much damage to those shorts. So we have two regions of shorts versus one region of longs. The second buying no longer counts.
The nearest target is the UPO @ 127.97 and then 127.84.
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