yale student

[aliassmith]

sold something around .06
i mean oil
i sold oil

EDIT:

-2
waste of time at this point

im done
for now at least

You've lied before
Good job today you should be done.
I'm up net 25 ticks based on some time based entries
there could be something to it.

[paweldobkowski]

sold something around .06
i mean oil
i sold oil

EDIT:

-2
waste of time at this point

im done
for now at least

You've lied before

haha

Good job today you should be done.
I'm up net 25 ticks based on some time based entries
there could be something to it.

oh really?
you explore that idea?

is it still :00 and :40 or something new?

[paweldobkowski]

sold .01
kinda low but couldnt find the entry

EDIT:

sold .04 not. 01
somethings wrong with my connection
wanted to edit that right away but its super slow
or its the page?

EDIT

-4

my platform is also lagging
ill better stay away

[aliassmith]

sold something around .06
i mean oil
i sold oil

EDIT:

-2
waste of time at this point

im done
for now at least

You've lied before

haha

Good job today you should be done.
I'm up net 25 ticks based on some time based entries
there could be something to it.

oh really?
you explore that idea?

is it still :00 and :40 or something new?

Seems like it varies, I just go back in time to see where the turns happen and compare
8:00am and 9:00am turned
8:30am and 9:30am were similar
7:42am and 8:42am and 9:42am
So there could just be a collection of all the player creating these patterns

[paweldobkowski]

You've lied before

haha

Good job today you should be done.
I'm up net 25 ticks based on some time based entries
there could be something to it.

oh really?
you explore that idea?

is it still :00 and :40 or something new?

Seems like it varies, I just go back in time to see where the turns happen and compare
8:00am and 9:00am turned
8:30am and 9:30am were similar
7:42am and 8:42am and 9:42am
So there could just be a collection of all the player creating these patterns

thats interesting
need to look into it

[aliassmith]

haha



oh really?
you explore that idea?

is it still :00 and :40 or something new?

Seems like it varies, I just go back in time to see where the turns happen and compare
8:00am and 9:00am turned
8:30am and 9:30am were similar
7:42am and 8:42am and 9:42am
So there could just be a collection of all the player creating these patterns

thats interesting
need to look into it

Now that I put it out there, someone will come across the posts and say
"Oh no there is another lunatic that thinks the markets are manipulated"
I think the markets are manipulated to some extent.
I also believe that the collective behaviors of the market participants reproduce similar patterns
and I never really considered that there was a time based element also. Which if you think
about it, probably 90% of traders use time charts.

[paweldobkowski]

Seems like it varies, I just go back in time to see where the turns happen and compare
8:00am and 9:00am turned
8:30am and 9:30am were similar
7:42am and 8:42am and 9:42am
So there could just be a collection of all the player creating these patterns

thats interesting
need to look into it

Now that I put it out there, someone will come across the posts and say
"Oh no there is another lunatic that thinks the markets are manipulated"
I think the markets are manipulated to some extent.
I also believe that the collective behaviors of the market participants reproduce similar patterns
and I never really considered that there was a time based element also. Which if you think
about it, probably 90% of traders use time charts.

i mean i remember when years ago i spoke with a maths professor
i think it was back in college
and he said most of the "random" things in life are falling under the standard distribution principle (the "bell curve")



so around 68% of people in a randomly selected group will "act" similar
(they will have similar incomes, have similar lifespans, have smiliar amount of kids, similar height, weight etc.)
so for example if you got grades at school from 1 - 5
around 68% of students will get the average of 3 (i mean between 2 and 4 but im talking about the average of that)
you cant tell which individuals will fall into which group
but you can be sure that the standard distribution will describe them in the end

i worked at two power trading firms
and in one of them i met a guy who was a PHD in statistics or something like that (he still is, we are good friends now)
and he was resposible for forecasting the energy consumption for every single day of the year
the firm had over 3 milion clients
and most of the time he was almost spot on
we talked about that a lot actually

individuals are not predictable
but people in groups are

so whether the market is manipulated or not
it will act as if it is
because any random action will prompt a certain reaction from the most of the participants
again! people will enter around the same places, place stops and takeprofits around the same places, hold for a similar amount of time etc.
and we cant "learn" to act differently
we cant all get on the call and decide that next time we'll do something else

i think we just need a characteristic PLACE that "resets" the game
so extremes are a good starting point (as you already do and look for reversals)
and im pretty sure there is something to it

this is as YALE as it gets right now
lol

[aliassmith]

thats interesting
need to look into it

Now that I put it out there, someone will come across the posts and say
"Oh no there is another lunatic that thinks the markets are manipulated"
I think the markets are manipulated to some extent.
I also believe that the collective behaviors of the market participants reproduce similar patterns
and I never really considered that there was a time based element also. Which if you think
about it, probably 90% of traders use time charts.

i mean i remember when years ago i spoke with a maths professor
i think it was back in college
and he said most of the "random" things in life are falling under the standard distribution principle (the "bell curve")



so around 68% of people in a randomly selected group will "act" similar
(they will have similar incomes, have similar lifespans, have smiliar amount of kids, similar height, weight etc.)
so for example if you got grades at school from 1 - 5
around 68% of students will get the average of 3 (i mean between 2 and 4 but im talking about the average of that)
you cant tell which individuals will fall into which group
but you can be sure that the standard distribution will describe them in the end

i worked at two power trading firms
and in one of them i met a guy who was a PHD in statistics or something like that (he still is, we are good friends now)
and he was resposible for forecasting the energy consumption for every single day of the year
the firm had over 3 milion clients
and most of the time he was almost spot on
we talked about that a lot actually

individuals are not predictable
but people in groups are

so whether the market is manipulated or not
it will act as if it is
because any random action will prompt a certain reaction from the most of the participants
again! people will enter around the same places, place stops and takeprofits around the same places, hold for a similar amount of time etc.
and we cant "learn" to act differently
we cant all get on the call and decide that next time we'll do something else

i think we just need a characteristic PLACE that "resets" the game
so extremes are a good starting point (as you already do and look for reversals)
and im pretty sure there is something to it

this is as YALE as it gets right now
lol

Oh my do you mean MO was right and as a group everyone is looking for a breakout to trade.

[paweldobkowski]

Oh my do you mean MO was right and as a group everyone is looking for a breakout to trade.

he really said that?

[aliassmith]

Oh my do you mean MO was right and as a group everyone is looking for a breakout to trade.

he really said that?

Yep
With everyone looking for a breakout... Blah blah
Momo after the breakout create the zero line..etc etc