Daily Forex News

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xtreamforex
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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Wed Dec 08, 2021 10:44 am

AUD/USD holds up to 0.7170 despite new sentiment challenge

AUD/USD fell to 0.7120 after hitting a one-week high in Wednesday’s early Asian session. A new challenge to the pre-risk sentiment before is bullish, but the Australian technical breakout of a major hurdle gives buyers hope in a quiet session with no significant data/events.

AUD/USD is rallying to its weekly high after two days of gains. Yields have fallen and US stock futures remain moderate amid mixed concerns. America, Russia and Sino-American Stories are battling a retreat from the horrors of Omicron.
A bright calendar, market expectations for Friday’s US CPI, indicates risk factors for a new impulse.
The US warns Russia of sanctions and aids Ukraine with military force if the Kremlin invades Kiev. A senior US State Department official said on Tuesday that the Biden administration was “focused on how to respond to the new German government if Russia invades Ukraine.” A US State Department official said on Tuesday. Reuters.

The US boycott of the 2022 Beijing Olympics is a bad sign for China, as Dragon Nation warns Washington of the consequences. In addition, concerns about companies facing a real estate crisis in China, such as Evergrande and Kaisa, are waning market optimism. In contrast, easing concerns over the South African strain of coronavirus, dubbed Omicron, and hopes for further stimulus from China are encouraging AUD/USD buyers. Against this backdrop, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield surged to 1.47%, down 2 basis points to 1.47% in two days, and S&P 500 futures struggling to keep up with the monthly benchmark. Continually, the lack of critical data/events keeps the risk catalyst in the driver’s seat. However, the latter risk factor could trigger the consolidation of AUD/USD gains due to the state of the risk indicator for that pair.

AUD/USD broke through the major barriers north of around 0.7110, which consists of the 10DMA and the upper line of the 5-week-old downtrend channel. However, the MACD signal shows a bearish bias decline and the RSI is rebounding again from its oversold zone, and the pair’s recovery is breaking out of the horizontal zone, including around 0.6990 recorded in November 2020 and December 2021. Thus, AUD/USD bullish is set to wrestle with the 0.7170 resistance that spanned the September lows and last week’s highs.

AUD/USD broke through the major barriers north of around 0.7110, which consists of the 10DMA and the upper line of the 5-week-old downtrend channel. However, the MACD signal shows a bearish bias decline and the RSI is rebounding again from its oversold zone, and the pair’s recovery is breaking out of the horizontal zone, including around 0.6990 recorded in November 2020 and December 2021. Thus, AUD/USD bullish is set to wrestle with the 0.7170 resistance that spanned the September lows and last week’s highs.

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xtreamforex
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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Tue Dec 14, 2021 7:28 am

EUR/USD is still at risk of Omicron Covid

EUR/USD fell on prospects that the EU will become the epicenter of the new covid strain, Omicron. As of this writing, EUR/USD is trading from 1.1277 to the lows of 1.1273 and 1.1286, with little or no change throughout the day in the early-week range.

According to the European Center for Disease Control and Prevention (ECDC), at least 6,430 cases of the strain have been confirmed in 70 countries since the discovery in late November. This option is said to be becoming dominant in Europe. Although European countries first reported cases of the disease, this strain has not yet been found across the continent.

Meanwhile, concerns over new options boosted risk sentiment on Monday and the FTSE 100 closed 0.73% lower at 654. The S&P 500 closed 0.9% lower at 4,668.97 on similar margins. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.4% to 15,413.28, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.9% to 35,650.95. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury fell 8 basis points to 1.41%, and the yield on the 2-year Treasury bond fell 3 basis points to 0.63%. EUR/USD reduced the loss to around 25 pips to 1.1290.

This week the central bank will be in the spotlight. “Until now, the European Central Bank (ECB) considered inflation to be temporary, but it is becoming more and more elastic,” said ANZ Bank analyst. The analyst continued: “The US Federal Reserve has recently changed its mind on inflation and it is very likely that the ECB will change its stance at its meeting later this week. Inflation in the euro area is high, with consumer prices currently at a record 4.9%, well above the 2% target.” “Unlike the United States, the economic recovery in Europe is much more fragile and the region is currently experiencing a wave of omicron cases. At this stage, the ECB expects inflation to fall to 1.5% in 2023 and will soon release its inflation forecast for 2024, analysts explained.

Forecast:

The Fed is having a two-day meeting so they can diversify the market based on what they see, but for now I think they’re starting to be limited to a small range of up to a year. As Christmas approaches, liquidity in the market is becoming an issue and there will be little momentum, but once most traders are gone, we can see a sudden surge in both directions. , essentially meaning nothing. The downside of 1.12 continues to be significant because if you fall below that level, you can accelerate to 1.10. On the other hand, I expected the 50-day EMA to act as resistance, so keep that in mind.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Wed Dec 15, 2021 5:05 am

XAU/USD bounces with USD 1,770 support and Fed is in focus

Gold (XAU/USD) is stable at around $ 1,772 and cannot recover from four months of support at the beginning of Wednesday. The price of the gold bar has fallen over the past two days amid growing concerns about a South African Covid variant known as Omicron and the limited hope of the Federal Reserve Board (FRB). But while vaccine news has questioned the issue of the virus, the continued decline in US inflation expectations and the surge in coronavirus infections have led to the Fed’s hawks during today’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). May stop. According to a model shared by ABC News, Australia’s most populous state of New South Wales produces 25,000 new Covid cases daily, while the UK has more hospitalizations for Omicron and a shortage of rapid test kits. There is a possibility. Elsewhere, China and Europe appear to be suffering from a variant of COVID 19, but Japan is about to be optimistic. In addition, Pfizer reports that the three shots of the vaccine are 70% more effective and 33% safer for infection than hospitalization at Omicron. The drug company also reported that the experimental COVID 19 pill, Paxlovid, is effective in tame all variants of Covid, including Omicron.

Conversely, US Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis (FRED) data show that US inflation expectations, measured at 10-year breakeven inflation, have fallen to 11-week lows, in contrast to record-high producers. is. November Price Index (PPI) for testing Federal Reserve Bank hawks. “We expect the monthly pace to double from $ 15 billion to $ 30 billion, which is in line with the end of quantitative easing in mid-March rather than mid-June. Authorities also said in a statement, economic forecasts. , May use a scatter chart change to convey a more aggressive tone. The median is expected to show a 50 basis point increase in fund interest rates in 2022, “TD Securities said.

Elsewhere, geopolitical and trade tensions between the United States and China, and between the United States and Iran also emphasize market sentiment, but face a slight reaction from the Fed.

In the midst of these games, US Treasury and S & P 500 futures returns are sluggish as they reflect pre-FRB market sentiment. Similarly, stock performance in the Asia Pacific region varies. Looking to the future, gold prices may remain vulnerable as the Fed anticipates a major fight against inflation. But Omicron is ready to throw a wildcard.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Thu Dec 16, 2021 11:13 am

WTI integrated Fed and EIA stocked over US $ 71.00 recovery in mixed sentiment

WTI flattened its biggest daily rise of the week at the beginning of Thursday, dropping 0.07% to $ 71.30 that day. The recent fall in black gold may be related to cautious market sentiment and various concerns prior to major central bank meetings and PMI announcements. However, the previous day’s rebound is related to the Energy Information Administration’s (EIA) limited weekly inventory data and the Federal Reserve’s (FRB) bullish reaction to faster throttles and higher dot plots. There is a possibility.

The deteriorating viral condition in Europe and the United Kingdom has joined the extension of the US-China Cold War to squeeze recent oil prices. It is worth noting that US pressure on Uighurville and the rush to manage Beijing’s data companies are the latest catalysts for the US-China struggle.

The cautious mood for the European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BOE) meetings and the provisional PMI in December also weigh heavily on oil prices.

We are looking for a clear direction as US 10-year Treasury yields fluctuate after a two-day uptrend as US equity futures boom. On Wednesday,

The results of weekly EIA crude oil inventory fluctuations fell from 20.82 million to 45.84 million, more than double the forecast for the reporting period to 10 December and the signs of a rate hike in 2022. A statement by federal chief Jerome Powell, such as “Omicron’s variant poses a risk to the outlook,” and a view to abandoning rate hikes until the taper ends. Looking to the future, WTI traders need to be aware of short-term directional risk catalysts.

Oil Price Forecast 2025-2050

The EIA predicts that the nominal price of Brent crude will rise to $ 66 / b by 2025. By 2030, global demand will push Brent prices up to US $ 89 / b. The price is expected to be $ 132 / b by 2040. By that time, cheap wells will be exhausted and oil production will be more expensive. Oil prices can reach US $ 185 / b by 2050.7. 4,444 WTI per barrel will rise to $ 64 per barrel by 2025, $ 86 per barrel by 2030, $ 128 by 2040, and $ 178 by 2050. The EIA expects oil demand to level off as utilities become more dependent on natural gas and renewable. The economy is also expected to grow by about 2% annually, and energy consumption will decrease by 0.4% annually.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Fri Dec 17, 2021 12:36 pm

USD/JPY holds near 113.60 on steady hand at BoJ

USD/JPY remains on the defensive as the European session approaches and was last seen trading near three-day lows, around mid-113.00. After struggling to find bullish acceptance above the 114.00 mark, USD/JPY sold off on Thursday and reversed the previous day’s FOMC move to monthly highs. A softer risk tone has benefited the safe-haven Japanese yen and put some pressure on the pair for the second straight day on Friday. Investors remain concerned about the economic risks associated with the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant and the imposition of new restrictions in Europe and Asia. This is evident due to weaker trading sentiment in global equity markets, forcing investors to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven assets.

The flight to safety was bolstered by further declines in US Treasury yields, which left the US dollar bulls on the defensive. This is seen as another factor behind the tone given around the USD/JPY pair. The intraday drop appeared unaffected by the announcement of the Bank of Japan (BoJ) policy decision.

The BoJ left its monetary policy parameters unchanged at the end of the December meeting, but decided to reduce the stimulus package in the event of a pandemic by the end of March 2022 deadline. That said, the decision. Emergency pandemic funding cuts have entered the market and, as such, have failed to provide a significant boost to the USD/JPY pair. In a press conference after the meeting, BoJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda reaffirmed that the central bank remains ready to ease monetary policy further without hesitation if necessary. Kuroda added that there is high uncertainty about the impact of the spread of the Omicron variant and there is a need to monitor the risks associated with congestion.

Going forward, there is no important market economic data to be released from the US, exposing the USD/JPY pair to market risk. Additionally, US bond yields could influence the US dollar’s price action and create short-term trading opportunities on the weekend.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Mon Dec 20, 2021 11:17 am

AUD/JPY remains important in 80.70S the risk-free market

AUD/JPY drops at the start of the week as risk-on risks continue to reverberate following Friday’s sell-off on Wall Street. At the time of this writing, AUD/JPY is down around 0.3% and sits between 80.73 and 81.04. 4,444 US stocks fell on Friday following news of the latest spike in COVID19 cases affecting the economic outlook. The S&P 500 index fell 1% to 4,620.64, ending the session 1.9 percent lower on Friday, and futures fell similarly in Asia.

Omicron variants are spreading “at lightning speed” in Europe, and medical professionals have warned of the “virus snowstorm” powered by Omicron, which is sweeping the United States. US President Joe Biden talked about “a winter of serious illness and death” among unvaccinated people. The Omicron variant of Covid19 has “extraordinary ability to spread,” said a major US infectious disease expert on Sunday, promising to bring a dark winter as it “dominates the world.” In New York State on Friday, new daily records were reported with just over 21,000 new COVID 19 cases. In addition, consumer reaction to the Omicron epidemic in the UK suggests that the US service sector will also have a bad time despite the holiday season. Aside from Covid’s risk, restrictive Federal Reserve and central banks could weigh on risk sentiment, and this week’s US inflation data will be monitored. Analysts at TD Securities said, “We expect a slowdown, but core PCE prices are likely to rise sharply again, albeit below the core CPI (0.42% vs. 0.53%).

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Tue Dec 21, 2021 11:49 am

The NZD / USD have struggled to benefit from a modest rebound from its year-to-date lows and is stable around 0.6725

NZD/USD held around the 0.6725 region in the early European session, although it seems to be struggling to capitalize on the intraday bounce from the current year lows. The pair once again succeeded in attracting buying near the round-figure 0.6700 mark on Tuesday and so far appears to have broken two consecutive days of losses. The strong recovery in risk sentiment globally – as evidenced by the positive rally in equity markets – is seen as a key factor in favor of the higher risk-aware kiwi. Additionally, the US dollar’s moderate price action extended additional support for the NZD/USD pair.

That said, the hawkish outlook from the Fed, coupled with a slight rise in US Treasury yields, acts as a headwind for the greenback. It should be remembered that the Fed announced last Wednesday that it will double the rate of taper to $30 billion per month. Additionally, so-called dot plots have indicated that officials expect to raise the federal funds rate at least three times over the next year. Additionally, COVID19 anxiety capped gains in the NZD/USD pair.

Investors remain concerned about the possibility of a recession due to the rapid spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant. Alternatively, a fatal blow to US President Joe Biden’s massive $1.75 trillion in social spending and the climate bill could stave off any upside moves in the market. Conversely, this warrants some caution before confirming that the NZD/USD pair has bottomed in the near term and positioning for any further upside.

Investors may also be reluctant to bet heavily amid relatively tight liquidity as the holiday season approaches and in the absence of relevant economic news. That said, US bond yields could influence the USD price dynamics and give momentum to the NZD/USD pair. Furthermore, traders will rely on the broader risk sentiment of the market to capture short-term opportunities around the main market.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Wed Dec 22, 2021 11:58 am

XAU/USD hangs at 100DMA ahead of US data

Gold prices have remained steady so far in Asian trading on Wednesday, hovering around the daily moving average (DMA). The shiny metal lacks a clear direction, in the absence of a new catalyst, as attention now turns to US CB consumer confidence data for more impetus. Persistent concerns about the rise of Omicron covid variants in Europe, Australia and the UK continue to emerge amid a diminishing market situation over the holidays. Technically, gold prices remain confined between the major DMAs, with the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) still hovering at 50.00, showing the acumen of gold traders.

Gold (XAU/USD) remains slightly offered around $1,790, up for the second day in a row during Wednesday’s Asian session. Even so, the metal has not kept up with other risk barometers, such as Antipodeans and WTI, in depicting the mood at risk. The reason could be related to the cautious market sentiment ahead of the US data series as well as the bearish chart trend.

The refusal by global policymakers of lockdown measures ahead of the Christmas holidays, despite the latest spread of the covid variant in South Africa, known as Omicron, seems to have boosted sentiment. . US President Joe Biden’s expectations for the completion of the “Build Back Better (BBB)” plan and vaccine/treatment optimism are also positive for gold.

Although Texas reported its first Omicron-related death in the United States, President Joe Biden curtailed any nationwide embargo, as previously revealed, while promoting vaccination faster. Similarly, cautious optimism emanates from the Pacific countries and the United Kingdom. In addition, news that the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) will allow a duo of drugs Pfizer and Merck to treat Covid19 earlier this week, according to Bloomberg sources, also added to the increase mood at risk.

In addition, “President Biden said Tuesday that he believes there is still room to achieve his Better Build Back program, despite Senator Joe Manchin’s opposition to the spending bill social and climate goals,” said The Hill. In contrast, inflation expectations rose in the United States, as measured by the 10-year breakeven inflation point according to data from the Federal Reserve of St. Louis (FRED), ahead of key US data from this week challenges gold buyers. In addition, the struggles between China-US and the US-Russia add to the downward trend in gold prices.

That said, US Treasury yields rose 4.8 basis points (bps) to 1.467 percent, while Wall Street benchmarks recorded a three-day downtrend in late Tuesday trading. of America. However, the S&P 500 Futures index is down 0.10% on the day at press time.

Moving on, gold traders could reassess the latest level of market optimism despite Omicron woes and firmer inflation expectations ahead of US data.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Mon Dec 27, 2021 12:18 pm

XAU/USD hits $1,814 hurdle as Omicron weighs profits

Gold (XAU/USD) shows slight gains around $1,810 on a dismal Monday morning. The yellow metal welcomed the weakening of the US dollar, as well as low Treasury yields to produce the latest gains around monthly highs, flashed on Dec. 17.

That gives The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell 0.08% to 96.10 as 10-year US Treasury yields fell 1.1 basis points (bps) to 1.482%, falling back to highs the most in two weeks reached a day before. In contrast, S&P 500 Futures are up 0.11% on the day to around 4,720 by press time. Mixed concerns about the COVID19 variant in South Africa, specifically Omicron, join with cautious optimism surrounding US President Joe Biden’s Build Back to Better (BBB) ​​plan, which promotes boost the recent risk-on mood. According to a Mastercard report, China’s industrial profits and an update from the US show an uptick in US retail sales data. However, the lack of key data/events joining the holiday mood in New Zealand, Australia, Canada and the UK seems to be holding back market movements. It should be noted that the Dallas Fed manufacturing index for December, expected at 13.2 versus 11.8 previously, could offer intermediate moves in a sluggish session expected.

A sharp rise beyond the 200DMA gives gold buyers hope of overcoming the two-month horizontal barrier around $181,416 despite the holiday mood. After that, the double tops marked in July and September around $1,834 will return to the chart before $1,850 can challenge the bulls planning a break above the November highs. is $1,877. Meanwhile, the ascending support line from August around $1,778 is added to bearish filters below the 200DMA level of $1,797. In the event that the gold bears remain dominant beyond $1,778, $1,758 could offer an intermediate stop before the quote slips to September’s low of $1,721 and the rounded figure is 1,700 dollars. In a nutshell, gold prices are bullish but have a bumpy road north.

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Re: Daily Forex News

Postby xtreamforex » Tue Dec 28, 2021 12:15 pm

USD/CAD consolidates losses around weekly lows below 1.2800 as oil eases from monthly high

USD/CAD is struggling to regain the 1.2800 level while healing yesterday during Tuesday’s Asian session. The loonies seem to be watching the end of the risk-on mood as well as the decline in the price of Canada’s main export, WTI crude, to challenge the one-week drop from yearly highs.

A question of previous optimism regarding the South African variant of covid, namely Omicron, as well as the lack of major updates, could be responsible for the recent disruption due to the weakening of the US dollar. Even so, the market holiday vibe joins the light news feed to challenge the pair’s momentum.

USD/CAD is struggling to regain the 1.2800 level while healing yesterday during Tuesday’s Asian session. The loonies seem to be watching the end of the risk-on mood as well as the decline in the price of Canada’s main export, WTI crude, to challenge the one-week drop from yearly highs. A question of previous optimism regarding the South African variant of covid, namely Omicron, as well as the lack of major updates, could be responsible for the recent disruption due to the weakening of the US dollar. Even so, the market holiday vibe joins the light news feed to challenge the pair’s momentum.

It should be noted that an increase in virus cases and fears of falling oil prices could challenge USD/CAD sellers in the absence of a major catalyst. Even so, data from US housing and Richmond Fed Manufacturing will come ahead of the American Petroleum Institute’s weekly prints of industry inventories to guide USD/CAD volatility in the short term.

Clear bearish breakout of 21DMA, closest around 1.2800, directs USD/CAD bears towards upward support line from early November, around 1.2755.

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