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Paul&Paul
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Forensic evidence about KGHM

Postby Paul&Paul » Sun Nov 20, 2011 3:24 pm

Forensic evidence about KGHM may contradict some opinions, nevertheless what fingerprints, DNA tests and blood tests are for ordinary crime, chaos is for markets and trading.

Immediately after the sharp fall of KGHM shares on Friday the move was linked to the expose of the Polish PM and some people called for a probe into the affair.

From the point of view of chaos we saw a virtual crash of a little more than 14.208 times a trigger down (160 pips) in the course of six hours.
It bit horribly crashing more than 2273 points. Indeed not a very common event for such a gigantic healthy sound copper producer.

The analysis was based on Volume from an M60 chart and chaos tools were employed.
The chart cannot be availed here alas. But it does not really matter as we are talking about the past, not making any projection into the future.

One thing found is of course the trigger down which occurred before the expose. The main driving force of this market embossed its fingerprint in a clear manner.

Secondly, KGHM plummeted full 14.208 times the value of the trigger in pips
which in terms of chaos is an instant market crash.

Thirdly, the last turbulence in the system (that's part of the trigger) took place on a (relatively) small white candle and with its Volume rapidly decreasing. On a rising market with a very serious divergence. There was less and less engagement in trading the upwards direction. T

Fourthly, the subsequent release of energy on the slump down did not cause any turbulent flow in the same scale (M60). All turbulences related to the crash had occurred before.
To illustrate what happened with the Volume study its figures hour after hour:
159355 SELL from 16:00 hrs on Thursday
130678
139127
78934 opening on Friday and beginning of the trigger
58458
42086 trigger down from 12:00 on Friday
815261
218163
102206
336371
776277
846732.
After the trigger Volume increased almost twentyfold.
Interesting to note that earlier, the day before, there was a turbulence down at 16:00, the hour traditionally engaging mostly professional
investors rather than small investors.
Conclusion:
Forensic evidence shows that the market was very well prepared and ready to execute a crash-like KGHM sell-off on Friday and utilized the existing energy in the system to a full extent.
It would be very difficult to call it a coincidential behaviour.
A lot of money was wiped out from the public holders and a lot of them must have been stopped due to the landslide.
It is possible that KGHM will recover fully from this abyss in the near future and the devil will giggle.

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Paul&Paul
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USDCHF needs close firmer than 9225 for sustainable gains

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 2:28 am

USDCHF needs close firmer than 9225 for sustainable gains.
The current trigger is down.
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Paul&Paul
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GBPJPY current trigger up

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 2:34 am

GBPJPY current trigger up and 4.669 of the trigger is at 122.13.
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Paul&Paul
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EURJPY

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 2:44 am

EURJPY on the wa y to 2.4220=103.62.
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GOLD updated.

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 2:58 am

GOLD updated.
Overwhelming southbound vector field orientation shows that any rebound will be used as an opportunity to sell GOLD.
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GBPUSD update

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 3:06 am

GBPUSD update.
Found support at 1.5731. The new week began with a small trigger down.
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WIG20 update - still no sign of recovery

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 6:31 pm

WIG20 update - still no sign of recovery.
It went in the direction of the vector field orientation and no sign of a change yet.
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GOLD updated.

Postby Paul&Paul » Mon Nov 21, 2011 6:36 pm

GOLD updated.
Have you seen worse than that? No sign of recovery according to the vector
field orientation.
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EURJPY updated

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 23, 2011 7:19 pm

EURJPY. The atmosphere is dense not due to CO2 concentration. This market is no exception. It is very hard for exceptional (meaning reassuring) news.

The world of deception is being toppled in front of our eyes. The system destroys to build something new and more sustainable than houses of cards.
Wherever you look around, there some bad smell. Stinking, rotten smell of
long sheets of non-balance bank figures, open market positions. We know some of it, a lot remains undisclosed. The financial world looks like a burning out forest. It went beyond the border of percolation a few years ago.

EURJPY is about the euro and the yen. The good, the bad and the ugly speculators.

Are you shure what you see in mass media is true? What they tell you is true?
Are you shure you see things the way they are?

I wouldn't be so shure.

Now slowly down, gently, that's it. You must keep a check on the progress. Understandable, but viewing the world from highs disqualifies nevertheless.
Look, look, look, speak of the devil.

Lines in Lathia, problems in Lithuania. Look at them. I would expect such a lot from them. Where did it go wrong?

A bit late, I am afraid, to ponder about it.

EURJPY went as low as those nasty red ellipses pointed before it happened, bounced off 103.26 but only to as little as a little less than 104.22 by the closes and now it broke below 103.26.

EURJPY is going too far with this thing? Another two yards, and another two yards, and another two yards. You did not vote for that? Yes? Good luck with you. Seek support from them then. Maybe they will point to some 5.8664, or 9.1299 or perhaps 14.208. Which one's yours?

EURJPY found a new support at 5.8664 of the marked trigger down.
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Paul&Paul
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WIG20 update - still no sign of recovery

Postby Paul&Paul » Wed Nov 23, 2011 9:06 pm

WIG20.
A new target 2150 today.
A bow towards all those who are optimists.
Farther down we have 2015.
It goes with the PLN depreciation.
The capital is flowing out. Birds of feather flock together.
Believe it or not, the common tone in published outlooks countrywide before this week's opening was childishly optimistic. Ha.
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