You're asking for donations?
I think you work might be appreciated more if you could show us how to draw the red box prior to the price moving to 3.5699 and 4.669 times the height of the red box.
Previously you said "I watch and analyze the attractor, and apply symbolic dynamics." This is not very useful info. You think you can explain it in a way that we the readers can understand?
If you could actually show us how to get realistic targets and price direction I am sure a few folks might donate. But without a practical way for us to calculate the red range, then this information does no one any good and looks like little more than after-the-fact analysis.
My new chaos findings implemented in forex trading
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GBPJPY stable upwards
GBPJPY stable upwards which is concluded from the reaction near 4.669 on different levels. The current situation is marked from two triggers E and F.
Their targets correspond to Fibonacci retracements.
Also observe that there is UPO-repeller @ 130.65 situated between 3.5699 and 4.669 of trigger E.
GBPJPY looks stable between 131.96 and 130.65. To change the picture we need movements beyond this area. In other terms GBPJPY consolidates. It revisited earlier a UPO @131.97. Candlesticks indicate buying below 131.20. A dip to 130.75 would be enough to take their stops.
Their targets correspond to Fibonacci retracements.
Also observe that there is UPO-repeller @ 130.65 situated between 3.5699 and 4.669 of trigger E.
GBPJPY looks stable between 131.96 and 130.65. To change the picture we need movements beyond this area. In other terms GBPJPY consolidates. It revisited earlier a UPO @131.97. Candlesticks indicate buying below 131.20. A dip to 130.75 would be enough to take their stops.
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- gbpjpy1.02z.gif (49.6 KiB) Viewed 3512 times
gold
A galore of triggers on gold. Their nearest targets are marked with ellipses. Refer to post dated Jan.18 and the 14.208 level of trigger 1. Gold is stable upwards and unstable downwards. Last Friday 14.208=1354.07 showed again as something important for the system. It must have been memorized very well. It was not a result of a rounded multiplier. Chaos is not maths of rounded numbers. If you want to see it, you must be exact.
Why 1354.07 is important? Because it is a border of chaos but more important than science is the reaction of the market on approach to it.
1354.07 has turned from an attractor to a repeller several times since Jan.18.
Why 1354.07 is important? Because it is a border of chaos but more important than science is the reaction of the market on approach to it.
1354.07 has turned from an attractor to a repeller several times since Jan.18.
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- gold showed reaction to 14.208=1354.07
- gold7.02.gif (41.36 KiB) Viewed 3487 times
GBPUSD at a glance
Consolidation area 1.6151-1.6037/50. Sharp rejection of 1.6164 and 1.6146 shows strong shorts.
What is not seen in the chart below is the 4.669=1.6282 of an earlier trigger. GBPJPY was 5 pips shy of the target. 3.5699 of the same trigger is @ 1.6206. The decline below indicates that GBPUDSD is stable upwards. It means that it is easier to push prices lower. Keep in mind that this is a local property and things may change if 1.6282 is broken.
I would like to point to the behavior of the market before the release of Friday US economic data. What was it? Oh, forget it. It matters only because of Rapid Eye Movements. The flash news is important only from the point of view of the hour. We do not care what the data is, there is no time to digest it. Traders get hot, servers get hot, spreads spread with some brokers. You have got to remember that the data released was not a last minute printout but technically had been prepared much earlier.
It suffices to say that the last trigger before 14:30 was down. A tiny little trigger on the left indicated some energy down. What happened then? 25 pips up and down it goes almost 100 pips. It did not recover fully at the end of the day, did it?
Let us see the time of the trigger. 3:30 is a Tokyo hour. You see that Tokyo was selling, London was selling and New York was selling too. Then some profit taking took place. They were selling up to a limit. The limit orders were triggered not in any place but in a special place determined by chaos. It is a nice cake to take when volatility increases rapidly.
What is not seen in the chart below is the 4.669=1.6282 of an earlier trigger. GBPJPY was 5 pips shy of the target. 3.5699 of the same trigger is @ 1.6206. The decline below indicates that GBPUDSD is stable upwards. It means that it is easier to push prices lower. Keep in mind that this is a local property and things may change if 1.6282 is broken.
I would like to point to the behavior of the market before the release of Friday US economic data. What was it? Oh, forget it. It matters only because of Rapid Eye Movements. The flash news is important only from the point of view of the hour. We do not care what the data is, there is no time to digest it. Traders get hot, servers get hot, spreads spread with some brokers. You have got to remember that the data released was not a last minute printout but technically had been prepared much earlier.
It suffices to say that the last trigger before 14:30 was down. A tiny little trigger on the left indicated some energy down. What happened then? 25 pips up and down it goes almost 100 pips. It did not recover fully at the end of the day, did it?
Let us see the time of the trigger. 3:30 is a Tokyo hour. You see that Tokyo was selling, London was selling and New York was selling too. Then some profit taking took place. They were selling up to a limit. The limit orders were triggered not in any place but in a special place determined by chaos. It is a nice cake to take when volatility increases rapidly.
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- gbpusd7.02.gif (39.64 KiB) Viewed 3483 times
EURUSD slumped after the news
EURUSD slumped after the news.
The trigger was small. It looks trivial? Well, it is not, because a tiny trigger up followed as well (which I did not mark). Anyway, you could kill the mosquito up or down. Where is the difference or what is the difference then? The answer is in time. Sellers had much more time to prepare their positions. Meaning that selling should be more sustainable than buying. Last minute positions cannot be big in numbers. There is simply not enough time for that. EURUSD did n ot recover the losses at the end of the day.
Both GBPUSD and EURUSD show that the news hour is what we should use not avoid. I personally cannot imagine rich hedge funds profit using their expensive blueboxes contrary to the chaos rules. Full stop.
The trigger was small. It looks trivial? Well, it is not, because a tiny trigger up followed as well (which I did not mark). Anyway, you could kill the mosquito up or down. Where is the difference or what is the difference then? The answer is in time. Sellers had much more time to prepare their positions. Meaning that selling should be more sustainable than buying. Last minute positions cannot be big in numbers. There is simply not enough time for that. EURUSD did n ot recover the losses at the end of the day.
Both GBPUSD and EURUSD show that the news hour is what we should use not avoid. I personally cannot imagine rich hedge funds profit using their expensive blueboxes contrary to the chaos rules. Full stop.
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- eur7.02.gif (26.77 KiB) Viewed 3467 times
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1.3572 done
EURUSD managed to recover only marginally.
The three UPOs, 1.3791, 1.3777 and 1.3754 are repellers now. The last trigger was up with targets set @1.3638 and 1.3655. At the moment EURUSD is unstable downwards.
EURUSD is bound to revisit both 1.3754 as well as 1.3493.
The three UPOs, 1.3791, 1.3777 and 1.3754 are repellers now. The last trigger was up with targets set @1.3638 and 1.3655. At the moment EURUSD is unstable downwards.
EURUSD is bound to revisit both 1.3754 as well as 1.3493.
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- eur7.022.gif (35.84 KiB) Viewed 3456 times
1.3655 done by EURUSD
1.3655 done by EURUSD
1.3655 is equal to 4.669 of the trigger marked in the earlier chart.
1.3638 is equal to 3.5699 of the trigger.
The market showed reaction at both these targets.
1.3655 is equal to 4.669 of the trigger marked in the earlier chart.
1.3638 is equal to 3.5699 of the trigger.
The market showed reaction at both these targets.
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- eur8.02.gif (36.07 KiB) Viewed 3440 times
Borders set by chaos support GBPUSD
Borders set by chaos support GBPUSD.
It looks heavy with a possibility of dropping to 1.5984 which is 3.5699 of the last trigger down. 4.669 lies at 1.5765.
It looks heavy with a possibility of dropping to 1.5984 which is 3.5699 of the last trigger down. 4.669 lies at 1.5765.
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- gbp10.2.gif (44.04 KiB) Viewed 3413 times
GBPUSD reached 3.5699=1.5984
Borders set by chaos supported GBPUSD. It looked heavy with a possibility of dropping to 1.5984 which is 3.5699 of the last trigger down. 4.669 lies at 1.5765.
Today GBPUSD has done 1.5984. Not much strength in the bounce.
Today GBPUSD has done 1.5984. Not much strength in the bounce.
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- gbp11.2.gif (33.99 KiB) Viewed 3397 times
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